posted on Feb, 21 2012 @ 07:27 PM
Almost everyone should know by now that Ron Paul's strategy for nomination is focused on picking up delegates. In the news all you hear about is the
surge of Santorum and that Ron Paul is all but out of the race.
If that is reality or not remains to be seen though we all know how the MSM likes to distort facts in order to serve us the news as they see fit. We
also all know that campaigns sometimes do the same in order to shine a better light on their candidate.
With that in mind, I came across this posted at the dailypaul today
The real delegate count Roney 93, Paul 82
Every media outlet seems to have a different delegate count. But almost invariably we're told Ron Paul is in last place and far behind the leader Mitt
Romney. But none of these delegate counters properly estimate how the caucuses will allocate their delegates. According to the Paul campaign, Ron is
well positioned to win 50% of the delegates in Iowa, 75% in Minnesota, 50% in Colorado, and 75% in Maine. So what is likely to be the true delegate
count once the caucus states select their national delegates? Add together the bound delegates from New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida, and
Nevada, and extrapolate the caucus states' delegates using the Paul campaign's estimates and you get:
Total Delegates (IA, NH, SC, FL, NV, MN, CO, ME)
Romney: 93 (6, 7, 2, 50, 14, 2, 7, 5)
Paul: 82 (13, 3, 0, 0, 5, 28, 17, 16)
Gingrich: 29 (0, 0, 23, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0)
Santorum: 25 (6, 0, 0, 0, 3, 7, 9, 0)
Unpledged: 14 (3, 2, 0, 0, 0, 3, 3, 3)
If the Ron Paul campaign is correct, this is an encouraging sign. If they are incorrect they have really painted themselves into a corner. I tend to
believe the Ron Paul camp on this one. They would really be spinning quite a yarn if not true. One thing about Ron Paul, he does appear to be very
If you are wondering why Missouri is not included I think it has to do with the fact that they will not begin their delegate selection process until
If these numbers are to be believed it seems pretty clear that this is a two man race between Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. There is still a very long
way to go but with Romney losing momentum I don't think it is unrealistic anymore that Ron Paul can
actually win the republican nomination
If Ron Paul's campaign is right or not, it is obvious that the MSM is just spouting complete lies about how delegates are awarded and that we are a
very long way from calling anybody the eventual nominee.
I hope this puts a little wind in the sails of Ron Paul supporters and perhaps quells the defeatist attitude I have seen many of them take up in the
last few weeks. Lets not forget, the MSM lies through their teeth everyday. He can win and he is doing quite well with what counts, delegates.
edit on 21-2-2012 by sageofmonticello because: (no reason given)