posted on Feb, 20 2012 @ 10:01 AM
The most recent round of polls is out, and as of Friday, Romney had an 8 point lead over Santorum. While Romney's numbers have dipped (and
Santorum's raised) in the past month, they both hold a comfortable lead over the third place runner, Newt Gingrich. Ron Paul is a very distant
Latest Arizona polll here
Michigan currently shows Santorum ahead, Romney second, Paul third,and Gingrich fourth.
But it ain't necessarily over, as we all know. The
(a respected political analysis blog that many never heard of but which many news sources pay attention to) says that
Romney's chances of getting at least 49% of the vote in all the upcoming primaries is NOT certain.
And did you know that Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands also have a hand in selecting presidential candidates? They do.
NPR has an excellent article about the whole confusing
-- and it shows just how much of a mess the Republicans have made of the selection process (some districts in Maine won't
caucus for awhile, in spite of the regular Maine caucus being done and gone.)
And yes, the article does mention Ron Paul and his delegates' strategy
There's a bit of history in the link about how the 1968 Democratic National Convention changed the electoral process (it really WAS in the hands of a
few before that time) -- and I think we'll see some changes this time.
The numbers are close and any misstep by either Santorum or Romney is going to really change the landscape of "who's in front."