posted on Feb, 17 2012 @ 10:53 PM
While this is no doubt a major public and diplomatic swipe at Iran, I think it's a bit less dramatic than some stories in the media are suggesting.
This would cripple an unaffiliated nation, as I've come to think of them. Iran most definitely is not in that category.
Will it cause disruption? Oh Yeah.... Big-Time...for a few days. Perhaps a week. Anything longer will be because Iran deliberately chooses to let this
play out for the unrest and domestic push to fight it will bring. I say this because Iran, again, is nothing remotely like Libya or Iraq (after 1991)
and has nothing in common at all with Afghanistan on any level but language and tribal identities near the borders.
Iran has something to get past this. In fact, Iran has two somethings. (Fidel only had 1..but it's kept that old fart running for decades) Iran has
Russia and China as it's Sugar Daddys or whatever a client state calls it's primary suppliers and supporters. Why shouldn't they both help? They both
do daily business with Iran in the MEGA money ranges and it's kinda important to each of their domestic markets in Oil in and hard currency from what
So.... Iran has a loophole as large as any nation could ever ask for...but will it play that way? That may be the question which may decide war or
peace in the immediate near-term, IMO.
edit on 17-2-2012 by Wrabbit2000 because: minor correction.