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Originally posted by Aldolas
Originally posted by seachange
reply to post by theindependentjournal
I stopped watching after a couple minutes do to extreme stupidity by the Youtube author. You can easily predict the results on an election based on a sample size of 2,300. This is common sense. All the major polling companies regularly make statements about 300 million Americans based on sample sizes of rarely over 3,000 people. This is how statistics works.
There is no hoax, just people making stupid assumptions about polling that are false. The margin of error isn't based on the available maximum sample size. Everyone in statistics knows that. Just because you can get more samples doesn't mean you need to get more samples. The video author of the OP is simply stupid.
There is no hoax.
Correct! Apart from it being 'common' sense.
I watched it to the end. There is only 1 interesting question left (those 8 constituencies that disappeared), but apart from that it's (more or less) simple maths and statistics.
Nowadays 'denying ignorance' seems to mean watching an anti-mainstream video and starring and flagging it....
Originally posted by chr0naut
reply to post by theindependentjournal
I'm not an American, it really doesn't affect me.
Yes it does mate. Maybe not directly, but it will affect the world - including you and me, even though we are not Americans. The decisions of a president has a huge impact.
Originally posted by chr0naut
reply to post by theindependentjournal
I'm not an American, it really doesn't affect me.
Its not really that important to us outsiders because we cant vote for change..(not as if it would make a difference anyway)
Originally posted by theindependentjournal
I just went through all the replies I got so far and I think they are all excellent, save the it don't apply to me. I understand the thought they have but I think the other poster responded to that already too. The programmer testimony is old I had it in my archives when it came out right after the fiasco in Florida in 2000. Now that Florida Voting Machine that they used to rig an election makes more sense doesn't it than a lowly congressman and all that fraud... I recall Florida was a battle state in 2000 was it not???
_
Originally posted by TopDogCynic
reply to post by theindependentjournal
[
Using exit polls to predict the results of elections is nothing new. If the polling is done correctly (with a representative sample) of voters in a state, then it can give a good indication of how the results will turn out. News organizations have been using smaller, and smaller, sample sizes in order to give quicker predictions. Every news channel wants to be first to declare the winner, and their predictions have gotten riskier as a result.
This doesn't mean that there is a conspiracy or that the primary/caucus was a hoax. It just means that news agencies are willing to cut corners to be the first to make an announcement. This is stupidity and greed, but not necessarily a conspiracy.edit on 13-2-2012 by TopDogCynic because: clean up