What are your odds and prediction for a false flag during the Super Bowl?

Here's my top two.......

1) 60% certainty - False Flag event: Iran carpet bombs Syrian rebels

2) 80% certainty - False flag event: Iran sends another used car salesman to infiltrate the Whitehouse disguised as Eric Holder dressed up as "The Mad Hatter" in a Super Bowl inspired Alice and Wonderland party. The Holder wannabe releases a "Joker" style gas attack only succeeding in making the party goers sick. Obama unfortunately comes down with a strage skin disease and they have to put his pet chimp down (oops wrong mansion).