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New York Times says some officials think estimates that a strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities would cause catastrophe are 'partly a bluff,' and that this is accepted at top government levels.
Citing a number of officials and reports, the New York Times said that estimates that a strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities “would set off a catastrophic series of events” is considered by some to be “partly a bluff,” and that these estimates are accepted at the top levels of the Israeli government.
“I’m not saying Iran will not react. But it will be nothing like London during World War Two,” the New York Times reported the official as saying, citing an internal report.
The newspaper also said that an upcoming paper by Tel Aviv University’s National Center for Security Studies claims that Iran’s threats to close the Strait of Hormuz are also “a bluff.”
The newspaper also cites a paper recently published by the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies arguing that Israeli fears of Iranian missiles are exaggerated, as these would not be able to cause significant physical damage.
Time Magazine quotes Israeli defense official as saying that Israel can only delay Tehran's nuclear program by several months, at most a year.