Iran is not al-Qaeda for anyone to blame them and remain unchallenged.
If a US ship is sunk in the Strait of Hormuz, regardless of Iran's previous threats, Iran has to claim responsibility for anyone to be able
successfully convince other
countries that they did it. If the US chooses to blame Iran despite Iran's denial, others can refuse to accept any
US claim to being the aggrieved party with a right to retaliate.
With that in mind, let me go "Wild Things" (a movie with lots of twists and turns) on it.
US blames Iran and the war preparations are in full swing with everyone crying for Iranian blood. Obama wants to go all constitutional on it and asks
Congress to declare war on Iran, the first time it would have been asked since WWII.
Iran vehemently denies responsibility for the sinking. Russia comes to Iran's aid and declares that any attack against Iran before an international
investigation fixes responsibility for the sinking could result in a Russian retaliation.
Ron Paul comes to the aid of the Congress, with everyone else already committing themselves to a war with emotional speeches but now unable to go
ahead and risk a Russian attack or go back and lose face, and demands that the US agree to an international investigation to fix responsibility,
before going to war. Everyone agrees what a wonderful idea it is and pass a resolution asking the President to do that. Ron Paul is suddenly the
darling of the Congressmen and Congresswomen for saving them.
An international committee is set up to investigate and leaked preliminary findings point the finger straight at Iran with the ordnance that damaged
the ship deemed to be Iranian. Demands for bombing Iran will increase in the US. Meanwhile the strait becomes even narrower than it was because of the
sunken ship and oil tanker traffic is affected pushing up the prices of oil sky high.
The international committee determines in its final report that the ordnance that sunk the ship, while made to look like belonging to Iran, was
actually Israeli in origin and was launched from a submarine. The US and the world are shocked at the sheer audacity of a nation like Israel to do it
and there are vehement demands within the US to bomb Israel. Instead the US moves the UN Security Council to sanction Israel until Israel is rid of
all kinds of WMD, missiles and submarines and withdraws from the occupied territories. Israel refuses to cooperate and the sanctions come into
US is a hero throughout the Middle East (except, of course, Israel) and special prayers are held in mosques to ask Allah to bless the USA.
As the sanctions start making life difficult in Israel, Israeli Navy moves the world court for the US refusal to pay it for the hit the US ordered on
its ship and produces the evidence that conclusively establishes that Israeli Navy sunk the US ship under a contract from the US. World Court asks the
US to pay Israeli Navy. Highly embarrassed US claims no payments are possible since Israel is under UN sanctions.
Themslves embarrassed by becoming a pawn in the US game, Russia moves the UNSC to partially lift sanctions against Israel. US vetoes the resolution
upset by the Israeli treachery of taping the conversations regarding the hit. There are open calls from world leaders to reform the UN and expel the
US from it.
About the only US politician who doesn't look like an idiot in this whole transaction, Ron Paul, wins the election unopposed
. The new US
President immediately after taking oath, apologies to the world for the shameful actions of the previous administration and vows to make amends. In
its last vote on the UNSC, US votes along with everyone else to completely lift sanctions against Israel and then exits the UN.
As someone who never believes in reneging on free market commitments made, Ron Paul hands a cheque to the Israeli Navy for the completed job of
sinking a US ship in the Strait of Hormuz. While handing the cheque, he thanks the Israeli Navy for their invaluable help in his election and
taping or revealing the conversations where he approved the plan to sink the US ship. Next day he announces the ending of the Fed, creation
of sound currency backed by gold and also that the old greenbacks would not
be exchanged for the new currency