Possibility of MEG being real, page 1
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reply posted on 14-9-2004 @ 07:55 AM by feygan
I've not read the book but seen plenty about various big beasties down there. All are possible but plausable?? well yes and no.
I agree that with the amount of space down there unknown to us. (by this i don't mean that we have mapped using satalittes, but the amount we havent dived into)

This leaves many possibilties, however the issue comes when you hear all these stories about a big whatever somewhere. My problem is that its always "an", "a", "one of". As we all know a species annot live without reproducing and for reproduction to be successful, a minimum sized gene pool has to exist.
This is fine in the cases of Architeuthis as there have been sightings all over of many different specimins, showing it to be a stable species.
Since the concept of one creature surviving a few thousand years is beyond my scope of belief, then the only option left is for it to be an entire species.

Here's where i develop some slight problems, when you look again at giant squids they fit into the ecosystem well. They're big eat stuff like other squid do and get eaten themselves (sperm whales a prime predator).
The problem arrises when you talk about something of this size that is a top class predator.... I'm no biologist, but i think it's safe to say a 40ft shark requires a massive amount of food to live off. Thereby meaning a whole population of them would require even more.

So considering that without a population it is pretty impossible then, back to the original question, slightly altered.
40ft sharks living in and around the marianis trench possible? yes. plausable? sorry but i', gona go with no. More likely a few large specimin sharks have been seen by saliors etc who forgot to take into account water depth distortion.


reply posted on 14-9-2004 @ 08:09 PM by feygan
Ok been doing a little more research on this to try and give a more substanced argument.

So first things first we need to take a look at the minimum required number of individuals for a species to survive. Since we all know that without genetic diversity, inbreeding and ultimately extinction occurs.
After looking around the best I’ve come up with is that the MVP (minimum viable population) for many creatures is in the region of

<50-<500

To explain this, it means that a population of 50 is critical to prevent inbreeding problems, and a population of at least 500 is critical to prevent genetic loss through natural genetic drift.
So for a species to survive effectively it really needs 500 at least, even more so when you consider how much marine creatures wander.

However for the purpose of argument I'm happy to go with a conservative of 500. (Also consider not all of these are breeding, some are young, some old, some die before they get a chance)



Now that we have a number for how many megalodon's we need we next need to look at food, as it’s the primary thing for anything to survive. Since its closest living relative is the great white, then that’s all we have to base any real theories upon. It's generally accepted that sharks need to consume around 2% of their bodyweight per day to live. (Note this doesn’t mean it has to be that much every single day, just that amount on average)
So we take a look at the approximation of megalodon's size, ok i've looked at a number of sites and suggestions and generally it seems that it was around 40-50ft in length and around 30-40 tonnes in weight. Yes that’s 30,000 kilograms!!!!! One big fish.

Working with a general 2% rule this gives us a daily food requirement of 300 kilograms per individual. So then a simple case of multiplying that by the minimum needed 500 specimens gives us a nice little figure of 150,00kg per day consumed by this species at a bare low figure. (I’m using the smallest number of specimens and also going with a conservative figure for body mass)

Ok so in the vast depths of the oceans 150 tons a day may not sound like a great deal. However you then need to take some basic rules of nature into account.

All activity requires energy, and all things eaten provide energy. To survive you need to consume more energy than you actively use ( by actively I mean things such as walking, working and such. all stuff you do consciously) Without this you won't have the reserves to repair damaged tissues, grow or reproduce.
With this in mind it becomes obvious why all predators when hunting will choose the largest food source that will provide them with the needed energy. There’s no point in chasing a hundred mice (whilst easy to kill) if at the end of it you expelled more energy than they provide, better to kill one antelope.

So when you consider megalodon's size it's safe to rule out pretty much anything smaller than perhaps an elephant seal as a prey item, it just wouldn't be worth megalodons time and effort to try to catch smaller more agile prey. I'm happy to concede it did scavenge, but not as it's primary source. This was a hunter that may have scavenged, not a scavenger that may have hunted.

Ok then to conclude, we have a species that is consuming at least 150 tons of food a day that consists of large prey items. It's been suggested that megalodon typically preyed upon whales as food, and I can see it as a feasible idea when you consider its size. (even killer whales will take on other whales for food) As many thing in nature show with an animal design, if it aint broke don't fix it. So if still around today, it would likely still be feeding on whales as a primary food source.


Here lies the problem for me that amount of that kind of stuff being eaten would show up as a noticeable impact, even if you didn’t see this stuff happening there would be evidence of it. The whale that got away with battle scars, washed up corpses with injuries pertaining to their demise.


There’s just too many things that would make such a massive predator visible to us that hasn't ever been seen for me to think it can still be around.


reply posted on 15-9-2004 @ 01:30 PM by feygan
Thanks for pointing out the blinding error in my maths. (got a little caught up in a ton of pages i forgot to proof check it.

However my argument against it adapting to feed on smaller prey is due to the solitary nature of such a creature. Since the great white is it's closest living relative then we have to use that as a basis.

Before anyone points it out, I realise that Great Whites have been encountered in small groups uses "pack" tactics. They still were aiming for large prey though, not small fish. Both the Great White and Megalodon just don't have the right equipment for small prey items, the huge teeth are designed for mortally wounding (if not killing) in one hit. It's something the animal does very well at, and so would have no reason to change.

True the Orca is an truely remarkable pack hunter, but when you look at the way it's social structure along with its basic body design is made up you can see how this comes to be. (small teeth indicates small prey as a primary source) It would be like a lion going after a field mouse, even if it caught enough to survive it just wouldnt have the right equipment to feed effectively.

I can see where the minimum 50 specimens could be applied but (although im no genetisist) I just feel that such a small number would have interbred themselves into extinction even before humans graced the planet.


Perfect examples of succesful designs that stick are crocodilians, they have had the same basic features for millions of years, and barring a meteor or other major event, will probably continue to do so. In the battle of predator vs prey a species only devolps new designs when it's current ones are being counteracted.

The only things that have caused this is the general shrinking of animals of the sea, thus meaning agiligy have become a bigger factor. This is one of the reasons why I just can't get into my head an acceptance for Megalodon to still exist. I think it's a case of Megelodon dying out for being just too big and clumsy and the Great White developing to takes it's place as the top dog of the shark world.
Sure it would be fasinating to see them around, but the figures all seem stacked too heavily against them, along with a lack of what should be fairly common evidence for such an animal. (remember it's actually 300 tonnes per day not 150, thats the equivalent to 10 humpbacks per day)
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