reply to post by C0bzz
I wrote about this seemingly alarming trend about a year ago in a discussion regarding the Indian AF. The conclusion I reached, and the answer most
obvious, is that of influence. The U.S.-India nuclear deal, U.S.-India Foreign Military Sales, Red Flag 08-4 invite, the Cope India & Malabar series,
etc… Essentially, and unabashed about it, we're whoring ourselves to gain leverage and influence within India on a variety of fronts, from the
financial sector, to politics and then of course the military aspect.
No doubt in the coming decades India will start to solidify its position as a regional power and move on to global aspirations. When that time comes
the United States prefers to be the favored "superpower" and to have an established and close relationship with India in all spheres. It would be
ideal to shut down Russian military exports into India, keep India wary of China and not interested in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Instead
we would prefer they join our discreet "NATO of the Pacific" group along with Japan, Australia, Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea and the Philippines.
The end goal of course is to contain China within the first Island Chain and out of the Indian Ocean and deep Pacific. India has taken several steps
in this direction, however as of date these steps largely remain symbolic and superficial.
In the end we could be shooting ourselves in the foot, so to speak, by offering them advanced technology and such close cooperation, we have in the
past, so it remains a possibility. Still, the general attitude of the Indian leadership strikes me as being a cautious one. I don’t see India truly
aligning themselves with a major world power, cause or philosophy until they are in a much more favorable position (industrial, economical,
technological, militarily etc… However by then it might be too late dictate terms should they be unfavorable, and therein lies the inherent risk.
Personally I think in the long run our (U.S.) way of life and general attitudes are compatible with the general Indian population. As such, of all the
possible future scenarios I place little chance in one where the U.S. and India are diametrically opposed, in all regimes. They might not be as open
to us as say the U.K., and they don’t have too but certainly there is a possibility for cooperation and mutual support. Much more than there is with
China or Russia.
You can find much better Op/Ed pieces on this issue by various U.S./Indian political and military leaders. It is a complicated topic and one post of
mine is not going to clear it up, but that is the gist of it.
Lastly, it is in our interest to keep both sides at least within arm's length of each other, when it comes to military capacity. No one wants a war
between the two sides, nuclear weapons aside, it would be a huge geopolitical, humanitarian and economical crises. If both sides do not respect each
other when it comes to military capability, the trigger finger could get a little happy. Pakistan, for all its shortcoming has still come through big.
Allowing us access to its supply lines, access to its airspace, access to its intelligence capabilities, access to its military etc… It has proven
to be a "stable" and "friendly" partner, relatively speaking. This despite the internal composition of Pakistan, its warring factions and its
ideologically extreme minority. If we were to completely abandon Pakistan it would be disastrous, the possible consequences of which are not only
severe but too long to list.
[edit on 25-12-2008 by WestPoint23]