posted on Dec, 31 2011 @ 09:27 AM
Lets not get to ahead of ourselves shall we? The OP is talking about a naval exercise, and it is clearly a different animal than a live fire incident.
Can the Iranian navy bloody the nose of the US Navy through the means of low-tech and unconventional means? Of course they can, but can they sustain a
long conflict with the US Navy? Probably not. The only real danger is transiting the Straight of Hormuz which is one of the most narrowest waterways
in the world.
I served on an aircraft carrier and transited the Straight of Hormuz quite a few times. General Quarters! General Quarters! For those not familiar
with that term, all ship personnel and equipment assumes a constant state of readiness for any potential threats. Speed boats or missiles and whatever
Iran thinks to throw at them. If Iran thinks they are going to catch the US Navy with its pants down? Then they are sadly mistaken. When I was in, we
were always running drills and exercises going through there.
My guess is, the Iranian Navy will get some pot shots here and there. That is if they are lucky enough. However, get the fleet in open water and Iran
will curse the day they ever decided to be so emboldened. One battle group has multi-layered defense systems, multiple ships and subs, and an immense
amount of firepower. They can operate from hundreds of miles from their target area. Does the Iranian Navy even remotely have that capability?
Absolutely not! They are a brown water navy and on their best day a regional naval force. The US Navy does not even need to cross the straight to
pummel Iran. They don't even need to operate out of the Persian Gulf.
To be fair, they do have long range missiles, but I believe naval planners have developed adequate contingencies against that particular threat. With
all due respect OP, this scenario sounds like a two-bit act of fiction ripped from a Tom Clancy novel. I know the exercise cited was a real exercise,
but that is all it is. Iran does not stand a chance in a conventional fight against the US Navy, but in an unconventional warfare setting they have an
ability to bloody a nose here and there.
edit on 31-12-2011 by Jakes51 because: (no reason given)