Solar Activity Watch 2012

I am trying to get on the soho website. Just wondering if anyone else can get on it. sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov...

reply to post by Snakeybasterds


No, I tried..but no go..wonder whats going on??? interference perhaps??

Originally posted by Snakeybasterds
sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov...

Nope, blog widgets aren't available, and direct to the site doesn't work either. Houston ... ?

Thanks DontTreadOnMe, certainly a bump start to 2012 s+f+followed!

According to NOAA, this is the strongest solar radiation storm since May 2005, and as a precaution, polar flights on Earth are expected to be re-routed within the next few hours, Kathy Sullivan, deputy administrator of NOAA, said today at the 92nd annual American Meteorological Society meeting in New Orleans, La.

Source

For anyone curious as to why it's showing what looks like the aftermath of a planet exploding on SOHO right now, it's a proton bombardment that you are witnessing.

www.calgarysun.com...

WASHINGTON - The strongest geomagnetic storm in more than six years was forecast to hit Earth’s magnetic field on Tuesday, and it could affect airline routes, power grids and satellites, the U.S. Space Weather Prediction Center said.

A coronal mass ejection - a big chunk of the Sun’s atmosphere - was hurled toward Earth on Sunday, driving energized solar particles at about 5 million miles an hour (2,000 km per second), about five times faster than solar particles normally travel, the centre’s Terry Onsager said.

“When it hits us, it’s like a big battering ram that pushes into Earth’s magnetic field,” Onsager said from Boulder, Colorado. “That energy causes Earth’s magnetic field to fluctuate.”

reply to post by CALGARIAN


Im with you on this one(????). Been questioning this event all day, as well as what is to come next.
Hope this doesnt produce major earthquakes. Im in Texas and we have some possible strong storms tomorrow, I have been wondering what this solar activity will turn that into..Alabama took a beating, i hope we dont have any of that here in big T...

This was just on our local news...It doesn't look good...
It could affect planes navigation systems, phone network, electricity...
Dag Biseker said that auroras will be seen in North America

reply to post by murkraz


What i am most curious about is the reporting of this flare in the MSM - my understanding (limited but i admit it!) is that this flare is a bit of a baby really but the reporting about it is rather fear mongering!

From what i have read, it has puzzled the greybeard fraternity a bit as a flare that size doesn't normally produce so many protons to bombard us with? (i say normally, but i am totally unaware of how long we have actually been able to measure the proton levels bombarding us - this may be minor for all we know!).

CME arrival at ACE!!!

www.swpc.noaa.gov...

Originally posted by borutp
This was just on our local news...It doesn't look good...
It could affect planes navigation systems, phone network, electricity...
Dag Biseker said that auroras will be seen in North America

I predict there will be no damage.

It will be another glancing blow off of our north pole.

Spaceweather says CME will reach Earth Jan 24 14:18 UT. UT = ????

Per the Aurora oval, the CME is currently underway and is pretty powerful!

twitpic.com...

Originally posted by JoeGuitar
Per the Aurora oval, the CME is currently underway and is pretty powerful!

twitpic.com...

The speed is impressive. 2,200 km/s

CME launched Sunday 11PM January 22 EST

Time to impact: 9:18 AM January 24 EST

I found the Universal Time Converter online. I think i got it right.
-----------

Close but no cigar. The Carrington Event CME got here in only 18 hours!

Apparently, the faster the ion storm the more damage it can do.

Originally posted by Eurisko2012

Originally posted by JoeGuitar
Per the Aurora oval, the CME is currently underway and is pretty powerful!

twitpic.com...

The speed is impressive. 2,200 km/s

CME launched Sunday 11PM January 22 EST

Time to impact: 9:18 AM January 24 EST

I found the Universal Time Converter online. I think i got it right.
-----------

Close but no cigar. The Carrington Event CME got here in only 18 hours!

Apparently, the faster the ion storm the more damage it can do.

True on all counts, this is certainly not a damaging event, but I hope that is a beautiful one. I'm watching the Aurora Sky Station cam now and am hopeful to see something!

www.auroraskystation.com...

Originally posted by JoeGuitar

Originally posted by Eurisko2012

Originally posted by JoeGuitar
Per the Aurora oval, the CME is currently underway and is pretty powerful!

twitpic.com...

The speed is impressive. 2,200 km/s

CME launched Sunday 11PM January 22 EST

Time to impact: 9:18 AM January 24 EST

I found the Universal Time Converter online. I think i got it right.
-----------

Close but no cigar. The Carrington Event CME got here in only 18 hours!

Apparently, the faster the ion storm the more damage it can do.

True on all counts, this is certainly not a damaging event, but I hope that is a beautiful one. I'm watching the Aurora Sky Station cam now and am hopeful to see something!

www.auroraskystation.com...

Thanks for the cam link.
--------
I wish Spaceweather.com would spell it out just like i did.

Give me time of eruption. Eastern Standard Time - EST

Give me the direction. - Animated Gifs look great. No problem there.

Give me the speed: 2,200 km/s is just fine.

Give me time to impact Earth. Eastern Standard Time - EST
---------
Our high voltage transformers haven't exploded yet so it looks like we dodged the bullet
on this CME.

Middle Auroral Activity Warning at Solar Terrestrial Dispatch (www.spacew.com, click on Discussions at left menu)

excerpt
"The entire continental area of Canada and United States, northern and
central Europe, the entire UK and perhaps France, northern to
north-central Russia and southern Australia and New Zealand may spot
periods of auroral activity."

This is nowhere near the intensity of the Nov 2003 storms (one peaked between X30 & X40), but it is a major flare.

grrr Ticked off big time that it's cloudy & raining here (my chances are dim to slim to none).
Good Luck, skywatchers!

Originally posted by DogsDogsDogs
Middle Auroral Activity Warning at Solar Terrestrial Dispatch (www.spacew.com, click on Discussions at left menu)

excerpt
"The entire continental area of Canada and United States, northern and
central Europe, the entire UK and perhaps France, northern to
north-central Russia and southern Australia and New Zealand may spot
periods of auroral activity."

This is nowhere near the intensity of the Nov 2003 storms (one peaked between X30 & X40), but it is a major flare.

grrr Ticked off big time that it's cloudy & raining here (my chances are dim to slim to none).
Good Luck, skywatchers!

There are more CME erupting from our sun but not at us.

The other planets on the other side of the solar system are getting blasted.

----------
We weathered the ion storm just fine. A few airliners decided to stay away from
the polar routes. This was a great rehearsal for the main event.

X2-Class Flare, not earth-directed but already creating an S1 radiation storm.

"Departing sunspot 1402 unleashed an X2-class solar flare today, Jan. 27th, at 18:37 UT. Click on the image to view a movie of the extreme ultraviolet flash recorded by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:



Sunspot 1402 is rotating onto the far side of the sun, so the blast site was not facing Earth. Nevertheless, energetic protons accelerated by the blast are now surrounding our planet, and an intensifying S1-class radiation storm is in progress.

The explosion also produced a spectacular coronal mass ejection (CME): SOHO movie. Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab say the cloud raced away from the sun at 2500 km/s or 5.6 million mph. The CME is not heading toward Earth, although it is too soon to rule out some kind of glancing blow on Jan. 28-29."

Originally posted by murkraz
X2-Class Flare, not earth-directed but already creating an S1 radiation storm.

"Departing sunspot 1402 unleashed an X2-class solar flare today, Jan. 27th, at 18:37 UT. Click on the image to view a movie of the extreme ultraviolet flash recorded by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:



Sunspot 1402 is rotating onto the far side of the sun, so the blast site was not facing Earth. Nevertheless, energetic protons accelerated by the blast are now surrounding our planet, and an intensifying S1-class radiation storm is in progress.

The explosion also produced a spectacular coronal mass ejection (CME): SOHO movie. Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab say the cloud raced away from the sun at 2500 km/s or 5.6 million mph. The CME is not heading toward Earth, although it is too soon to rule out some kind of glancing blow on Jan. 28-29."

I think 2,500 km/sec is too slow.
In order to do severe damage to the Earth, it would need to be twice that.

At 5,000 km/sec the ion storm /CME could severely distort our magnetosphere.

Originally posted by Eurisko2012

Originally posted by murkraz
X2-Class Flare, not earth-directed but already creating an S1 radiation storm.

"Departing sunspot 1402 unleashed an X2-class solar flare today, Jan. 27th, at 18:37 UT. Click on the image to view a movie of the extreme ultraviolet flash recorded by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:



Sunspot 1402 is rotating onto the far side of the sun, so the blast site was not facing Earth. Nevertheless, energetic protons accelerated by the blast are now surrounding our planet, and an intensifying S1-class radiation storm is in progress.

The explosion also produced a spectacular coronal mass ejection (CME): SOHO movie. Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab say the cloud raced away from the sun at 2500 km/s or 5.6 million mph. The CME is not heading toward Earth, although it is too soon to rule out some kind of glancing blow on Jan. 28-29."

I think 2,500 km/sec is too slow.
In order to do severe damage to the Earth, it would need to be twice that.

At 5,000 km/sec the ion storm /CME could severely distort our magnetosphere.

I agree, it shouldn't be bad for us.

I'm trying to find a solar wind simulation... edit: Here it is.