Solar Activity Watch 2012

Just an interesting article i read not sure if its been posted.

Solar Flares

It looks like sunspot 1520 is acting up. There is an X-flare in progress. Currently at X1.0 and slowly climbing, according to www.solarham.net....

Here is a link to the x-ray graph (1 minute).

We'll have to wait to see if there is an associated CME...

Is it just me or is this one impressively big..? (That's what she said)

This is a pic of the Coronal Mass Ejection from Stereo Behind.



Sunspot 1520 is earth-facing, but the CME could go south of Earth--waiting on projections...

reply to post by Olivine


Yes, you always have to think 3 dimensionally.

It looks like another glancing blow. We should see them all year long.

The CME is expected to arrive Friday/Saturday and to produce minor geomagnetic storming.

The protons from the event have arrived and are producing an S1 level radiation storm

Have been viewing the IRIS Seismic Monitor. Have been alot of activity today.www.iris.edu...

Earthquakes are starting to appear with frightning synchronisity.www.iris.edu...

It's so beautiful,



www.spaceweather.com...

Large sun spots are moving to earthside of sun


And they are well visible in Magnetogram

Two sudden impulses detected from Spaceweather.com under space weather warnings.
K-index at 6 as of now and climbing.

Source

reply to post by JaqueFresco


And this from solarham.net


click thumbnail for larger image

solarham.net

reply to post by this_is_who_we_are


Thanks for the graph

Edit: K index at 7 and still climbing

Space weather just reported a sudden impulse, K index at 4 and climbing. Should be a hell of a aurora borealis in 1-3 days.

www.redorbit.com...

New flare today, no northern lights tho....

Filament Eruption Near 1608
A filament eruption was just observed over the last several hours around sunspot 1608. This region is in a good Earth facing position and a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is now visible. A portion of the cloud looks to be Earth directed. More updates to follow.

Filament Eruption (Friday) - SDO

November 9th 2012.

Any idea how bad this could be?

reply to post by JrDavis


Just wondering if you have a link for that. I've been looking on solar ham and spaceweather and I'm not seeing anything earth directed. There was one today on the farside. Thanks.

www.spaceweather.com...

Ok, found it on Solar Ham, good post...

E UPDATE: The brand new CME Prediction Model released by the Goddard Space Flight Center shows a potential for an Earth impact by late on November 12. A majority of the slow moving plasma cloud appears to be headed south, however a glancing blow impact will be possible. This could lead to an increase in geomagnetic activity and aurora at high latitudes. Click on the image below to watch the latest animation.
www.solarham.net...

Looks like the sun is getting a bit more active today.

Picture

Flare probabilities have increased to 85% for C-class and 25% for M-class (R1-R2 level radio blackouts). We also issued our first alert since 17 December. It was for a type of radio emission.

NOAA / NWS Space Weather

Space Weather