Quake Watch 2012

Here is a list of ALL California quakes since August 20:

www.data.scec.org...

THIS doesn't make me feel any better at all...

twitter.com...

Earthquake Forecasts ‏@Quakeprediction We are very concerned about the extremely high earthquake risk in the San Francisco Bay. New forecast map;

www.quakeprediction.com...

Originally posted by berkeleygal
THIS doesn't make me feel any better at all...

twitter.com...

Earthquake Forecasts ‏@Quakeprediction We are very concerned about the extremely high earthquake risk in the San Francisco Bay. New forecast map;

www.quakeprediction.com...

I dont like the looks of that colorful mapper... Im planning on goin to a SF game on my bday in sept, I dont even wanna go until that earthquake is done with.

reply to post by dayve


yeah, you are in the green at 40 there in Chico, I am in the red at 97 here in Berkeley!

don't think I will sleep at all tonight...

Tsunami warning remains in effect for Costa Rica, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Honduras, Guatemala, Panama, Mexico after quake -

How can you tell from that quake watch site what the magnitude of a quake is when the thing scribbles.. ?

reply to post by kennvideo

Isaac is weather related and earthquakes are geological events, so I don't think they are connected.

There is a tsunami warning in effect for central America and Mexico, which just had a quake of 5.4

Several hours ago, USGS had a San Francisco quake listed with a magnitude of "?".

The next time I checked, it wasn't listed at all.

Also, what's going on here? earthquake.usgs.gov... The whole USA, the Americas plural and other places from Greenland to all the Caribean etc. is running a lot of black ink. Does the California/Baja Mexico border earthquake storm make all of those others all the way to Greenland and Cuba go off the chart? Thanks!

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center cancels tsunami warnings for Central American countries issued after the El Salvador earthquake -

reply to post by Trexter Ziam


errr, what the hell is happening there?

all the graphs are going spastic..

... is that some really minature scale or something? could someone please educate us plebs on these graphs?

reply to post by Doodle19815

Wasn't sure, it just didn't convert to a 7.4/7.3

now I've seen it on LISS yep it was pretty big
LISS Global

now changed to;
mb = 6.0 (318) ML = 5.6 ( 7) mblg = 4.7 ( 9) MS = 7.0 (677)on usgs phase data

certainly picking up on that side of the Pacific
very quiet on this side,
this is the entire list since last Wednesday for the whole of NZ
Day Mags
22 3.932 (Puysegur Bank)
22 2.076
22 1.865
22 1.348
24 2.747
25 4.126 (Mayor Islnd, BOP)
25 2.806
25 2.871
25 3.372
25 1.493
25 2.339
25 3.603
26 1.91
27 3.962 (Hanmer)

reply to post by Agit8dChop


they are all showing the same quake(s)
6.5's will show world wide (with varying degrees of wiggle depending how far away the station was), 7's for sure will cover the whole graph everywhere on the planet..

Look for a quake in San Fran ...

Magnitude: 5.3
DateTime: Monday August 27 2012, 09:01:23 UTC
Region: northern Sumatra, Indonesia
Depth: 151.2 km
Source: USGS Feed

Event Time
2012-08-27 09:01:23 UTC
2012-08-27 16:01:23 UTC+07:00 at epicenter
2012-08-27 05:01:23 UTC-04:00 system time
Nearby Cities
32km (20mi) SSE of Parapat, Indonesia
64km (40mi) S of Pematangsiantar, Indonesia
74km (46mi) NNE of Sibolga, Indonesia
90km (56mi) WNW of Bandar, Indonesia
310km (193mi) WSW of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

I could not get on to ATS yesterday due to some curious problem with some tracking system they employ. I tried to disable the tracking but that did not work either so I gave up and continued working on the program.

Now I find you have all been partying again have mag 7's while I sleep and swarming all over California.

I think I would probably agree with TA that the California swarm may well be volcanic being all centred on the Brawley Seismic Zone fault, and showing the sort of shape you might expect from an intrusion, were it not for the fact that they are not showing the depth pattern, in my opinion, for a dyke intrusion. The trend on the depths is actually deepening not shallowing (if there is such a word). Here is the past 7 days depths for Southern California.



In addition they are all over the place whereas dyke intrusion tends to cause quakes in a fairly narrow band I believe from studying known intrusions in Iceland.

There is no previous history of deeper quake swarms as the magma pushes up. Going back 1000 days of "southern california" quakes (which bear in mind contains some from the Baja episode, I found the trend the same - not sure what the indicates!



So in view of the fact that this is at the junction between the Brawley fault and the convergent plate boundary I am sticking to tectonic origin, Let me know when the fissure eruption starts.


I have collected the ANSS data for a 50km diameter section around Brawley

delta=32.99,-115.57,0,25 was the parameters used



Whilst the depth trend is apparently up, the current episode is deeper which makes it tectonic in my opinion.

I will post some numbers shortly but so far as I am counting up it looks as if this is a 7 or 8 year occurrence that lasts about 12 months, but don't quote me on that until I have finished.

reply to post by JustMike

A couple of years or so back I kept records on his daily posts and put them in the Experiment in Alternative Methods of Earthquake Prediction thread and there was little doubt that his "method" was just what I've stated above. If you want I can find some of the posts and link them for you.

Likewise I have tracked a few of his 'rediction' but gave up as a bad job. It just was not worth the effort trying to keep it up. I guess however that Berkeleygal knows I have no time for that site

reply to post by SpaceJockey1

I'm expecting there to be a bumpy ride in many places during the last 4 months of the year (rather than previous two where most energy was released during first few months.

Whilst statistically there is quite a bit of activity towards the end of the year, and I am not saying that you are wrong, bear in mind we are 2/3rds of the way through the year and have had 1/3rd of the number of mag 7s so either we are are going to have many fewer than last year which is my feeling or that is going to be more than a bumpy ride!

I mean, you just get the feeling that something BIG is due to really shake or blow somewhere soon in North America!

Do you? Only if you are thinking Cascadia as far as I am concerned.

Final note, even supposedly EXTINCT volcanoes have apparently been wakening up, along with a site load of others every week!

What is the definition of extinct? Generally taken to mean volcanoes that have not erupted in the Holcene era I believe and is not expected to erupt again. Yes confirmed my feeling and......

An extinct volcano would be one that nobody expects to ever erupt again. These are human definitions of natural things – there have been a number of eruptions from “extinct” volcanoes!

Source

In terms of a 24 hour life span for earth one second is 52,000 years yet that is only 1/86,400 th of the Earth's day. I believe that a volcano is not extinct until it has been weathered away, let alone 11,000 years (about 200 microseconds) and all on the say so of humans who only knew anything about such things in any detail in the past 2 or 3 microseconds!

Another one:

Magnitude: 4.7
DateTime: Monday August 27 2012, 10:59:40 UTC
Region: off the coast of El Salvador
Depth: 20.6 km
Source: USGS Feed

Event Time
2012-08-27 10:59:40 UTC
2012-08-27 04:59:40 UTC-06:00 at epicenter
2012-08-27 06:59:40 UTC-04:00 system time
Nearby Cities
127km (79mi) SSW of Chirilagua, El Salvador
128km (80mi) S of Puerto El Triunfo, El Salvador
135km (84mi) S of Usulutan, El Salvador
140km (87mi) S of San Rafael Oriente, El Salvador
188km (117mi) SSE of San Salvador, El Salvador