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The San Andreas work is referring to tremor, not earthquakes
However one slices what one expects to happen, the test is what does happen, and larger tidal stresses do not do much to the rate of earthquake occurrence.
In fact, tidal stress addition due to the variation in distance to the Sun and Moon are more important than whether the alignment is so perfect as to result in an eclipse,
so keying on the presence of an eclipse is a mistake.
Finally, whether an earthquake happens or not in this instance is much less diagnostic that examining whether the centuries of recorded earthquakes tend to happen during eclipses. This is just one more sample on a time series of thousands.
Fun to speculate, though.
Even if they were on the megathrust, the chances of a dangerous quake are not high. Unfortunately, the odds are that when the next bad quake strikes, it will be a complete surprise.
Oh dear...here we go...Prof. Erik Klemetti's latest blogg is all about the moon and its effects on EQ's and volcamo activity. Far too long to post it here in its entirety...but please give his view a read.
Some of the so-called evidence for this moon-earthquake relationship is specious at best.
Does the moon cause earthquakes?
I think the moon has a bigger effect on earthquakes which are caused by volcanic actions. Oh, Puterman. I was going to explain about Yellowstone and the new moons and the eclipse and the webicorders from the swarms. I wish I could post January 15 with the trace of the first quake which shows up 2 hours after the eclipse.
This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Saturday, May 05, 2012 at 09:23:23 UTC
Saturday, May 05, 2012 at 02:23:23 AM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
2.8 km (1.7 miles)
4 km (3 miles) E (93°) from The Geysers, CA
5 km (3 miles) SW (216°) from Cobb, CA
6 km (4 miles) WNW (292°) from Anderson Springs, CA
39 km (24 miles) N (353°) from Santa Rosa, CA
115 km (72 miles) WNW (284°) from Sacramento, CA
horizontal +/- 0.1 km (0.1 miles); depth +/- 0.2 km (0.1 miles)
Nph= 71, Dmin=0 km, Rmss=0.07 sec, Gp= 43°,
M-type=regional moment magnitude (Mw), Version=5
California Integrated Seismic Net:
USGS Caltech CGS UCB UCSD UNR
Originally posted by tracehd1
The latest Quake watch and predictions from Dutch.....I like the guy. He's doing a great job of trying to educate and warn people concerning weather related topics and HARRP. When Dutch spots a HARRP ring, scaler squares, circle sweeps there is bad weather 24- 72 hrs after sweeps are found. He predicted the Dallas Tornado's and I can almost bet he saved some lives....