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Originally posted by cbvh27
I fail to see why Paul would win as a 3rd party, but not as a Republican. That makes little, to....well... No sense whatsoever
The problem is, nominating Romney or Gingrich would result in a loss against Obama. Not because the candidates are less popular, but because there would then be a viable 3rd party candidate. Ron Paul supports are Ron Paul supporters, period. If he loses and runs 3rd party, he takes those votes with him. It no longer is a heads up match against Obama.
Following the primaries, independent candidates and nominees of third parties must gain access to the general election ballot. For independents and third party nominees, the laws are more severe than for candidates running as Democrats or Republicans. Independent presidential candidates and third party nominees need approximately 750,000 valid signatures in order to get on the general election ballots of all states. For Democrats and Republicans, access is automatic. In 1924, third party presidential candidates needed only 75,000 signatures to get on the ballot of all states. The population of the United States since doubled, but ballot access laws are many times more diffficult. Change began during the 1930s when major party politicians were eager to discourage labor from starting its own party.
The laws were again made more restrictive during the period 1948-1953 when fear and hatred of the Communist Party were very strong. Ballot access laws were tightened further during 1969-1975 after George Wallace's 1968 third party showing of 13% shocked Democratic and Republican Party politicians. In 1968 the U.S. Supreme Court stated for the first time that overly strict ballot access laws violate the First and Fourteenth Amendments to the U.S. Constitution. However, in 1971, the Court made it plain that they were only willing to declare such laws unconstitutional if the laws were so diffficult that virtually no one could ever use them. The Court has ruled that ballot access laws can require candidates to obtain the signatures of 5 % of the number of registered voters. Five percent of the number of registered voters in the U.S. at this time is approximately 7,500,000. Since petition gathering costs about $1.00 per signature, the Court's ruling means that it is constitutionally permissible for states to erect ballot access hurdles costing candidates over $7,000,000 to comply.
A write-in vote cast for a precinct delegate candidate who has not filed a Declaration of Intent does not count. Similarly, a write-in vote cast for a precinct delegate candidate who filed a Declaration of Intent does not count unless the write-in vote was cast under the political party column identified on the Declaration of Intent.