reply to post by SLAYER69
Not really a surprise if you ask me. The United States and Russia have always relied on MAD to keep the peace during the cold war. Keep in mind China
and Russia used to be mortal enemies, which China preferring the US as the lesser of 2 evils.
If we look at the big picture -
Russia - Back in the day before they broke apart their borders were secure and there was a clear idea of who was enemy and who was friend.
China - Same boat as the Russians
USA - again same boat.
In todays world Russia no longer has control over the republics, placing unknowns on chinas borders.
The US has always had the luxury of sharing only 2 physical borders, both of which are allies / friendly. If Mexico had been swayed to China or
Russia's side back in the day, our nuclear deterrent strategy would be completely different than what we have now.
The closest we ever came was the Cuban missile crisis, and if we remember the US went bonkers over stationing nukes that close to the US. Why would
China's view be any different?
With your background in the military you know the base for any strategy is based on knowledge. If your enemies don't know, its to your advantage.
With Chinas attitudes towards other countries, which essentially views them as barbarians, coupled with there military upgrades and territorial claims
all over the place, China has put themselves into an awkward position. China could go one on one with their surrounding neighbors and probably could
pull it off. However, when your actions piss off almost all your neighbors, a certain victory is no longer plausible.
What China has done is created a military doctrine that lets them hold countries at bay with the sheer size and technical advancements of their
regular military. The nukes, being the unknown, has reinforced that first image while at the same time, knowing that their military right now is no
match for Russian or American, and to a lesser extent India's, military has the nuke issue as added insurance.
The flaw in Chinas strategy is they have never taken into account internal stability of their own country. Pakistan's actions of playing both sides
of the fence is another interesting twist because it just showed China that a country they relied on as an ally might not be that good of an ally.
That leads to a view that the countries who currently align themselves with China might be doing so as a matter of survival and nothing more. If
hostilities were to break out, and at the first sign of China getting a nosebleed, I can see those "allies" quickly switching sides.
"Keep your friends close and your enemies closer"
If the report is accurate, it also opens the door to see what exactly could China be exporting? Could this explain the reasons China was dead set
against the IAEA report and further sanctions / investigations in Iran and Syria? North Korea has also announced new building agendas for the nuke
All the above aside, its a disconcerting revelation and makes one wonder what their goal is by going down this road?
Either or, just my 2 cents..