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Calm down, the aircraft carrier is not off Syria
With little having been disclosed to the public at this point, and no assurance as to what is actually being planned or proposed, speculation is rampant. DEBKA and the Russian agency RT are hyperventilating today over a report that USS George H W Bush (CVN-77) has anchored off the Syrian coast. But Bush actually pulled into Marseilles on the 25th for a long-scheduled port visit (and posted photos from a reception in Marseilles on Saturday at her Facebook page). French local press confirms the carrier’s presence.
The Russians may or may not have dispatched three warships to Tartus to signal that they don’t want a Western intervention in Syria, and that they want to protect their alliance with the Assad regime. The report originated with Syria, and Russia is being coy about the ships. It would be very easy to disprove the Syrian news story, if the ships aren’t there. And they may well be, calling in Tartus from the anti-piracy station off Somalia, as a Russian anti-piracy task force did in September.
Meanwhile, reports that the Russian carrier Admiral Kuznetsov is in the Med are premature. As of 24 November, the carrier and her escorts were still in the Northern Fleet operations area in the Barents Sea, awaiting a pre-deployment inspection. The transit to the Strait of Gibraltar will take at least 8 days once it starts; the Russian media report that Kuznetsov will be in the Med in December. Her deployment has been scheduled for some time; of course her activities are indicators of Russian national interests, but they aren’t necessarily an indication of reaction to yesterday’s news.
Bush deployed from Norfolk on 11 May, and is on the way home at the end of her deployment (which will be 7 rather than 6 months if she arrives in Norfolk around the 11th of December). It’s possible for Bush to be held in the Med for some reason in the next couple of weeks, but she is not the best platform for providing logistic support to an NFZ – and, indeed, is superfluous for that mission in the Med. The Air Force, with our existing infrastructure of resources in Europe, can do the whole job, and do it better. If Bush’s air wing were to be used for anything, it would be initial strikes on the Syrian air-defense infrastructure. But it’s not clear that US assets are even going to be involved in that phase of the operation. Bush is due in Norfolk before Christmas, and my money is on her continuing home when the port visit ends in Marseilles (she is scheduled to depart on Tuesday 29 November).
Our economy is still recovering. A spike in oil will destory our chance of economic recovery. That simple.
World War isn't something that sneaks up on you and breaks out over nothing.
Originally posted by Mart0
Starred and Flagged.
Common sense when it comes to the entire destruction of human civilization is almost nonexistent online. I would assume it's because it lets people disassociate themselves from the actual situation, Or "If I worry about it, It won't happen". Grow up people. World War isn't something that sneaks up on you and breaks out over nothing. (And on a grand scale, Syria is nothing)