posted on Nov, 25 2011 @ 01:49 PM
We all heard Medvedev's position on missile defense. Now is Putin's turn, who traditionally is the tougher from the two. He has a major address this
Sunday Nov 27 when United Russia will officially nominate his presidential candidature. With only one week to the parliamentary elections, I expect
him to say something that will make the Russians to vote for his ruling party. Notice that the approval rating has fallen to some 40% or so. Still
winners, it is not enough for them compared to the previous elections.
None the less, you may have heard of the miraculous belt of Virgin Mary from Greek monastery, that drew 560 000 worshipers and blocks the center of
Moscow for a week.President Medvedev already venerated and kissed it, while PM Putin was among those who welcomed the sacred relic sometime ago in
Peterburg. I don't say this is political, rather religious politics, or even a miracle of conversion.
What will be the reaction of Russia in that pre-election situation, if let say, Turkey attacks Syria for whatever reason (no more Kurds but
humanitarian). Turkey is becoming more and more fundamental Muslim, and has issues with Orthodox Greece, as well as with the Greek Orthodox patriarch
in Constantinople (Istanbul) whom the Greek envision as their ancient capital and never elected their own patriarch located in Greece. Without
searching an Orthodox axis, it seems those countries ally regardless of their membership in different organizations. Even during the Georgian-Russian
war, the Georgian patriarch called for peaceful negotiations or something like that, and soon after the war visited Moscow. On contrary, Turkey and
Greece are at odds despite being members of NATO. Syria has a stable Christian minority and also Orthodox patriarch of Antioch that is one of the most
senior ones. Well, all those lands were once a part of Byzantium, before being conquered by the Ottoman empire... Just for information, not that will
be the most important factor today, but it may be a factor at one point that will turn the scales. Or at least to be used by someone.
Will Russia be involved in a conflict between Turkey and Syria, if USA stays aside and watches? I don't believe both USA and Russia will get involved
at the same time because it will be WW3. But may be it is the Russian turn to get involved in a regional conflict, and she might be let to do it, for
various reasons. Or we indeed head towards WW3? I don't see Russia losing Tarsus and all influence in Middle East. And we see a carrier group
preparing to go there. You cannot hit the Russian carrier without starting WW3. Will Russia strike first? Hope not, but the option cannot be ruled
edit on 25-11-2011 by Gliese581 because: (no reason given)