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NEO Asteroid 2011 WP4 to Graze Earth on November 24, 2011 – Condition Code 8

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posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 09:50 AM
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Just noticed this story and thought it was worth sharing.


thetruthbehindthescenes.wordpress.com...


NASA just discovered Asteroid 2011 WP4. Estimated diameter 12M-27M

“NEO Advisory on Friday Nov 18 2011 NASA has located a very new Near Earth Object to pass very near to earth on NOV 24 2011.


This object was just discovered on Friday. Therefore NASA has had limited data to make orbit projections on 2011 WP4. The level of uncertainty is one level below maximum uncertainty. In layman’s terms they have basically took an educated guess as to if it will miss earth or not.”


Here is the JPL orbital diagram for it.
ssd.jpl.nasa.gov...

This was just discovered on the 18th of November and there has been very little time to configure its exact path.
Condition 8 means that there is extreme uncertainty of it's trajectory. Its closest approach is .0038 on the 24th.

Don't know what to say here, other than, I thought we were sure that YU55 was the closest thing past and present for years coming our way.

This asteroid is rather small, but if it hit earth I'd have to imagine, it would take out a few city blocks.

That's all I have for now, but will share more as I read more info.
edit on 21-11-2011 by SunnyDee because: (no reason given)




posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 09:55 AM
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Ive been missing thse Eli type threads!

Shame its just been discovered we have missed out on weeks of doom porn!

Still not long to go so i guesss we will find out soon enough if this is the one!



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:01 AM
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reply to post by SunnyDee
 


2005 YU55 was the closest asteroid of that size. There are tons of smaller NEOs that get very close to Earth. This one doesn't pose any threat. It would have to be at least ten times bigger to even have a small chance of making it through the atmosphere and then impacting.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:02 AM
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Its interesting that more and more of these Asteroids are being found and they are getting closer, perhaps the whole Oort cloud and Nibiru stuff may have some credence after all. I dont believe that a planet will appear from behind the sun and wipe us out by next Christmas however something is out there, deflecting these things our way.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:02 AM
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reply to post by SunnyDee
 


27 meters maximum size..

Unless it's made of solid iron or something of similar or greater density it will break up on entry - very little would actually hit the ground.

Being so recently discovered I'm having issue finding physical characteristics, but if it's a "standard" asteroid it would have very little effect on Earth even if shown to be on the large side of their estimates.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:04 AM
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reply to post by bluloa
 


Yeah, I was missing them too, so had to find this to post.

Needless to say, it does seem as important as anything else, to talk about. There will be an asteroid hitting us one day, so it is nice to have a heads up to the close ones. Not that we could do much.

What I find the most interesting about this is that we are told repeatedly that there is no way there could be anything out in solar system that we don't know about, talking about planet x etc., and yet, there are frequent asteroids that catch our professional off guard. And even though, the comparison of a 12 meter asteroid to a planet are really not comparable, it does show me that we are not capable of seeing everything out there at all times.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:06 AM
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It looks like a miss to me. 1.5 LD away.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:27 AM
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Originally posted by SunnyDee
Just noticed this story and thought it was worth sharing.


thetruthbehindthescenes.wordpress.com...


NASA just discovered Asteroid 2011 WP4. Estimated diameter 12M-27M

“NEO Advisory on Friday Nov 18 2011 NASA has located a very new Near Earth Object to pass very near to earth on NOV 24 2011.


This object was just discovered on Friday. Therefore NASA has had limited data to make orbit projections on 2011 WP4. The level of uncertainty is one level below maximum uncertainty. In layman’s terms they have basically took an educated guess as to if it will miss earth or not.”


Here is the JPL orbital diagram for it.
ssd.jpl.nasa.gov...

This was just discovered on the 18th of November and there has been very little time to configure its exact path.
Condition 8 means that there is extreme uncertainty of it's trajectory. Its closest approach is .0038 on the 24th.

Don't know what to say here, other than, I thought we were sure that YU55 was the closest thing past and present for years coming our way.

This asteroid is rather small, but if it hit earth I'd have to imagine, it would take out a few city blocks.

That's all I have for now, but will share more as I read more info.
edit on 21-11-2011 by SunnyDee because: (no reason given)


I can just see it now...scenario unfolding...

It strikes Iran...but wait, it wasn't a NEO it was a nuke (the NEO NEVER existed in the first place, it was a cover but it gets the blame)



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:32 AM
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reply to post by jrmcleod
 


Yes, but now that you've said it, you've blown the plan! Thank you.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:33 AM
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That would make for one hell of a fireball.
Very neat.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:37 AM
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yup
I thought apophis was the next, but I forgot if its not SAID to be a certain size it doesnt count ... Nice find OP.
moving along no doom here



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 10:51 AM
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The condition code is an indication of the uncertainty of the orbit of the object around the Sun. This doesn't mean that its distance from Earth can vary wildly from the calculations. In fact, since the object was only discovered a few days ago (and therefore is close to Earth) its distance at close approach in a few days can be quite accurately calculated.

Look at the close approach data. The object is expected to pass at .00377AU. Taking the uncertainty into account the minimum distance will be .00371AU and the maximum .00383AU. The total range of uncertainty is .00012AU, about 11,000 miles. The object will not "graze" Earth.

Where will it be in 5 or 10 years? That is not quite so certain. But since it's orbital period is about 579 years we probably have more important things to think about.
edit on 11/21/2011 by Phage because: (no reason given)



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 11:08 AM
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reply to post by Phage
 


Ahh Phage, the doom-crusher! Totally agree with what you've said. FYI, I didn't pick the title, per ATS rules just used the article's title for the thread. I think "graze" was an overstatement myself.


Still think it's worth a peak at, this asteroid, if for nothing more than to see repeatedly that the JPL calculations are right on target.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 11:11 AM
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reply to post by SunnyDee
 

I know that you used the title from the article. Sorry if it seemed like I was jumping you on it.

But this gives me an opportunity to correct what I said about the period of the object. It isn't 579 years. That doesn't really make much sense. It's shown as 579 days.
edit on 11/21/2011 by Phage because: (no reason given)



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 11:15 AM
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reply to post by Phage
 


Hmmm. Now you are going to have to explain that comment a little more thoroughly. You just threw a wrench in the certainty of the uncertainty.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 12:21 PM
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reply to post by bluloa
 


Well the truth is if something was actually going to hit the planet, you would have zero doom and gloom plus no knowledge of an impact because the big wigs would most likely not even tell you. Interesting find, but again, nothing to see here. Just another space pebble...



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 12:25 PM
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reply to post by jrmcleod
 


Well that is not a bad scenario when you think about it. Imagine nukes being disguised as asteroids in the near future, it is possible and would also help the crazy bastards with their agenda.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 12:28 PM
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"grazing" the earth implies contact with the surface. If you don't know with certainty that this NEO will "graze" the Earth, please stop posting that in your title. Have it changed. Otherwise you are intentionally spreading fear and paranoia.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 12:29 PM
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reply to post by SunnyDee
 

No, the uncertainty is the same. It was me that screwed up, saying "years" instead of "days".

The orbital period of the object is about a year and half, with an uncertainty of 2.26 days. So the next time it is "here" will be in a year and a half. Of course, in a year and a half the Earth won't be "here". We'll be on the other side of the Sun.



posted on Nov, 21 2011 @ 12:30 PM
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her is a link I just found about it...Ha Ha Ha..LOL...you beat me to the news....ITs not as close as YU55...Maybe a satellite....hope the link works...www.youtube.com...




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