This race just got interesting...I hope the media actually reports this.
Ron has been winning the Iowa power rankings but he's never shown this much strength in an actual poll before. This semi-solidifies a lot of the
unofficial chatter about Paul being the strongest contender in Iowa but now I'm even more positive that it will ultimately come down to Paul v Romney
for the GOP nomination.
Like most survey polls done, we're still getting polls with majority registered likely republican voters but new voters like democrats, independents
and pre-republicans who have switched or registered for Paul aren't even on the radar yet, this is what will help Paul to do well in caucus states.
Paul also has the most strongest, organized, and energized grassroots efforts in many (ALL) states with Iowa being the top priority.
A Bloomberg News poll shows Cain at 20 percent, Paul at 19 percent, Romney at 18 percent and Gingrich at 17 percent among the likely attendees with
the caucuses that start the nominating contests seven weeks away.
This puts Paul right behind Cain and while Cain's numbers have been dropping in the last few weeks, things are looking bright for Paul. That isn't to
say Gingrich should be discounted for the next few weeks, the media will pump him until his baggage is dug up and re-reported so the establishment
base will likely have no where else to turn to but Paul and Romney.
The poll reflects the race’s fluidity, with 60 percent of respondents saying they still could be persuaded to back someone other than their top
choice, and 10 percent undecided. Paul’s support is more solidified than his rivals, while Cain’s is softer. All of the major contenders have
issue challenges to address.
Paul = voter confidence 'solidified' @ 19%
Cain = voter confidence is 'softer' @ 20%
Paul’s campaign leads for voter contact, with about two thirds of respondents saying they’ve heard from his campaign, followed by 61 percent who
said they’ve been reached by Bachmann’s campaign.
Does this all mean Paul will be the GOP nominee? still up in the air but one thing I do know is that it will be a very close race between Paul and
Romney. I also know that there is going to be some very dirty tricks being played in state caucuses and primaries all across America all the way up
to the national GOP convention. Remember 2008 when Ron Paul delegates were locked out? I'm expecting MUCH WORSE and MUCH MORE DIRTY tactics being
deployed to keep Paul from winning.
edit on 15-11-2011 by eLPresidente because: (no reason given)