posted on Oct, 26 2011 @ 06:57 AM
reply to post by diamondsmith
Hi Diamondsmith,
I suppose the first thing that I'd like to note is that Greece has had quakes of this magnitude in the past. The last one of mag 8.3 or larger was on
Aug 11, 1903 at 36.36 N, 22.97 E. (Reference:
USGS:
Magnitude 8 and greater quakes since 1900
I expect you'd be well aware of this fact but as some members might not -- and some might even read your OP and suspect you're just using big numbers
that are unrealistic -- it's worthwhile making it clear that what you are talking about is not outside the range of what's possible.
However, as that was the last quake in Greek territory over mag 8.0 and they are pretty rare anyway, the statistical odds of one happening in the next
week or so in that region are pretty small. Doesn't mean it can't but from that standpoint it's highly unlikely.
On the other hand, our planet doesn't give two hoots about statistics, and a large quake in Turkey could influence unstable faults in Greece. Put it
this way, that mag 7.2 in Turkey is not likely to have helped things any.
What I'm most curious about is why you specifically state mag 8.3, and not simply (say) mag 8-plus. After all, a mag 8.3 causes about double the
shaking of an 8.0 and releases nearly three times the energy. (ie, it would take three mag 8.0 quakes to release the energy of one mag 8.3.) So, why
8.3?
Best regards,
Mike
edit on 26/10/11 by JustMike because: typo.