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Using sophisticated computer modeling, researchers from the U.S. Geological Survey found that a large earthquake along the northern region of the San Jacinto fault could trigger a cascading rupture of the Sierra Madre-Cucamonga system, potentially causing a major earthquake of magnitude 7.5 to 7.8 near the Los Angeles metropolitan region.
The two branches of the Sierra Madre Fault shown here. The solid line near the circled "24" is the southern branch while the northern branch is the dashed line near the circled "25". (in "Recent Reverse Faulting in the Transverse Ranges, California", Crook, et al., 1987, USGS Professional Paper 1339)
ost people are not aware that the landers quake was predicted internally by the USGS, approximately 30 days ahead of time, and notices circulated internally, 7 hours prior to its rupture. (I can post the notice that we received shortly). Although we had been studying the area since a 6.1 earthquake occurred a few months earlier near Joshua Tree, CA, an earthquake in Sierra Madre, CA that registered 5.8 in 1991 steered the research for the Landers/Big Bear sequence. The Sierra Madre fault system seemed to be capable of a much larger earthquake, however we hadn’t had opportunity to do extensive excavation or radiocarbon dating on the fault system as the entire region had been becoming increasingly active. That said, we had very new research that indicated the possibility of an impending sequence of larger earthquakes in the region, possibly on the Sierra Madre fault. (The fault has since been confirmed to be capable of producing an earthquake of up to 7.9, tied with a “multiple fault rupture” sequence). This all leads to the present day when programs between the USGS and NASA such as SESWG, GESS, InSARS, and LIDAR have provided a plethora of information that has changed the landscape of geology. No one in the geology community will ever commit to terming a forecast as a “prediction” however in short; this is what we are now able to do with a precision unmatched in modern science. As recently as five years ago, the prevailing thought was that we were only able to forecast long-term events, and at best, provide “possible” or “plausible” magnitudes. However, over the last five years, this has changed. Looking back at the Landers/Big Bear sequence, coupled with what we now know the Sierra Madre quake is capable of, what was once only a 7-hour prediction has now developed into a more precise short-term plausibility based on the advent of space geodesy, (deformation measuring), which has enabled major advances in understanding the deforming crust and, more precisely, atmospheric monitoring. Please research this technology and know, although I cannot give you any specific current data, these are the programs we are using now and the data is shockingly convincing. As I’ve mentioned to look for increasingly obvious programing and PSA’s over the next month, I’ve provided a benchmark for my credibility. Tomorrow nigh KLCS is running and entire program, live, entitled “TOTALLY UNPREPARED”. Please watch it as this is what I’m referring to. I’m not sure how to be more vulnerable here to make my point. Obviously, I cannot reveal my true identity and I would ask those of you who are trying to expose me to redirect your attention to spreading the word.