posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:25 AM
But the numbers - at least right now -- are troubling for Democrats, and echoed some of the takeaways from the GOP special election upset in New
York City last week. Instead of an overall anti-incumbent sentiment impacting members of both parties, voters are taking more of their anger out on
Democrats. When voters were asked whether they're supporting the Republican incumbent or a Democratic candidate, 50 percent preferred the Republican
and just 41 percent backed the Democrat.
Voters in these districts said they were more supportive of Republicans than they were during the 2010 midterms, when 48 percent said they backed the
Republican candidate and 42 percent said they backed the Democrat. (Republicans won 55 percent of the overall vote in these 60 battleground districts,
while Democrats took 43 percent.) In 2010, Republicans netted 63 House seats - their best showing since 1948.
If there were ever a time for Democrats to truly panic right now would be a good time. Seeing as how the economy, not just here but globally, is
tanking again with GDP growth forecasts cut in half, the possible corruption with solyndra and other companies, alongside the growing association of
Obama with this economy it is not looking good for the Democrats in 2012. Assuming these numbers reflecting from this poll are correct I would take a
guess that there could be as many as 30, 40, or even 50 Democratic seats being threatened now. Since about 40 Democrats were elected in 2010 under 10%
it is within the realm of possibility that at least half of them would be knocked off in 2012.
Democrats were hoping their chances would fare better in 2012; most had given up hope of winning back the House but instead were wondering how many
seats they are going to win… now they are probably panicking over how many seats they are going to lose. With the formerly solid Democratic
districts which were spread out across the Southern states obliterated in 2010 and the creeping Republican presence into not just northern, but
northern urban Democratic districts which would for the past two decades seem impossible the party on our Left has some real reasons to worry.
It could get even worse if Obama’s numbers drop even lower, we enter another recession, or a strong Republican challenger is able to have coattails
in Northern areas come 2012. Just one of those three things could knock 20 seats out for Democrats, all three things combined could be a landslide.