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UARS is now officially off track! T-minus impact on earth. Make a guess where it will land!

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posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 10:28 AM
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reply to post by BuzzCory
 


man I would debris haul all day if they let me in space xD

frankly even the trackers tell the tale that no-one has the slightest clue about where this thing is coming down, not even. if you wish to argue that fact I suggest loading the satalites current orbital parameters into a free simulator called orbiter and see what happens, not to mention no one expected it to bounce, or strech the orbit so its highest relative altitude seams to be rising. this is not a controlled re-entry.

that said I agree with some previous posts regarding the DoD, if it becomes a danger, and has re-entered the atmosphere, it may then be feasable to 'blow it up' and not cause mass space debris, just a larges cloud of falling debris wherever its going to land..

it doesn't look too great but its not bad either, you probably have about the same chance to be struck by lightning, space is a big place.




posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 10:30 AM
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Originally posted by favouriteslave

Originally posted by djz3ro

Originally posted by Movhisattva

Originally posted by Whisper67
The Today Show just stated that your chance of getting hit by space debris today is: 1 in 3200.

I'm not liking those odds.



I believe they mean the chance of it hitting someone is 1 in 3200. You probably have to divide that by 7 billion to have the exact odds it hits you personally.
I might be mistaken.


The odds of it hitting you are 1 in 21 Trillion!

(i've only recently signed up to ATS and don't feel i'm "cool" enough yet to just write "2nd line")


They already said the odds were 1 in 3200. Um that is a huge difference.


ah yes, let me explain, the odds of it hitting a person is 1/32,000 but the odds of it hitting you or any other individual person is 1/21 Trillion

Although it would seem i'm safe here in Scotland...


Equally, if you want to avoid the risk of being hit completely, he says, then you need to go beyond 57 degrees latitude north (Scotland or Quebec) or south (further south than the southern tip of Argentina).


www.bbc.co.uk...



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 10:35 AM
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Yes!
Thanks to Fieldfly, so sorry, but I have always needed someone to point things out visually.
I appreciate the answer!



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 10:42 AM
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reply to post by albertfothergill
 


I would be surprised if the Republic allowed the RAF to operate there for whatever reasons (this is my assumption going on past and current relations) maybe it was a US helicopter?

But I wouldn't be surprised if they really are unsure where it lands if everyone is not prepared just in case
edit on 23/9/11 by thoughtsfull because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 10:42 AM
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I was just listlening "Little Shop of Horrors" first song, reading this thread and the words of this song are... well... apparently about today
. Some good parts:

"On the twenty-third day of the month of September
in an early year of a decade not too long before our own,
the human race suddenly encountered a deadly
threat to its very existence.
And this terrifying enemy surfaced,
as such enemies often do,
in the seemingly most innocent and unlikely of places."

"Watch 'em drop!"

"Oh, Hit the dirt, baby
Red alert, baby
No, oh, oh, no!"

"Look around, look who's comming down the Street for you"

If it really cause damage, then it´s not so funny anymore though



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 10:46 AM
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Oooh, spooky lyrics! I have a theory about this surfacing terror..........ist:






posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 10:56 AM
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reply to post by thoughtsfull
 


Relations between the UK and Rep of Ireland are good believe it or not! I dont think there would be a problem for the UK to get clearance to enter our airspace if my hunch is right.

Saying that, now you mention it, it would make more sense for it to be the US military. I wonder do they operate the Merlin helicopters too. I'm just a bit more inclined for it to be UK due to the radio reports that the UARS has a big chance of landing here along with the guy from the RAF stating on Sky news how closely they are monitoring it.

Six US chinooks flew over us days before Obama came. Near where i live is a aviation beacon and is a calling point for aircraft so we get a lot of air traffic.



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 10:59 AM
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Looks like North America is back on for possible landing zones..

If you need to change your guess

Well then COME ON DOWN!

If I pick a state I will say TN ..maybe Memphis, TN!



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:00 AM
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Now the info satelitte site is not working. It is closer now an no one is talking about this on the news an can't acess any of the sites. What other sites are tracking UARS?



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:01 AM
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edit on 23-9-2011 by popsmayhem because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:02 AM
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Latest news from Google say UARS orientation has changed and might land in the United States after all despite saying that it would not.

www.independent.co.uk...

I have been tracking this continually and it has changed course between early hours and current. However, its like a kite in the wind and its true to surmise that it would be difficult to ascertain where this will drop down.



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:04 AM
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reply to post by dreamseeker
 


Its currently south of Argentina on the coast. The tracking link works for me at the moment and that is where it is placing it at an altitude of 114.97

Update, moving quite quickly it is now over the Congo


edit on 23-9-2011 by ELEVATOR7 because: update uars route



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:05 AM
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Originally posted by RizeorDie

Originally posted by WarrioroftheRainbow
reply to post by My01Exploder
 


I agree. This entire thing just doesn't add up.

Not only that, but apparantly space junk this size falls about once a year, and they've never hyped it up like this. This makes me wonder if because this time it's actually going to hit somewhere.... or, maybe it's not a satellite???

And wth kind of odds are 1 in 3200 anyway? If 1 in 3200 people of the 7.5 billion people on earth got struck, then wouldn't that actually be like an astronomical amount of people? Over 2 million? I don't understand how they get 1 in 3200 yet in the same breath say that for one of us particularly is 1 in a billion or whatever.


Nobody is hyping it up apart from the people on ATS. In fact if you go look for news on google or elsewhere its not a headline, you will have to specificly search for it.

ATS makes you paranoid.


No hype?? Hyped only on ATS? Seriously? Where have you been?

MSNBC www.youtube.com...

FOX www.youtube.com...

Another FOX www.youtube.com...

CNN www.youtube.com...

I could probably come up with dozens, if not hundreds of MSM reports on this. Don't come at me sideways calling me paranoid, when I'm calling it like I see it.



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:07 AM
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reply to post by dreamseeker
 


i'm checking in this site and it is working...

UARS

Server time: 11:05:30 AM
Latitude: -56.37°
Longitude: -55.76°
Altitude [km]: 184.3
Altitude [mi]: 114.52
Speed [km/s]: 7.79
Speed [mi/s]: 4.84

www.infosatellites.com...

it's just passed the very bottom of argentina and is traveling above the ocean
it's still pretty high he doesn't really seem that willing to go down XD



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:07 AM
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Aye, it's also been the "most read" article on the BBC website the last two days. It's not like anything else is going on. Oh yeah, recessions - things we can all get involved with, see for ourselves and sort out



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:12 AM
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reply to post by albertfothergill
 


Normally I would say it would be logical.. but tho I know relations are not so bad as they have been it still might be seen by some in a different light.. so I would assume the US would take such a role to smooth out potential difficulties.. tho I don't believe they operate Merlin like helicopters..

I hope your hunch is wrong..
edit on 23/9/11 by thoughtsfull because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:14 AM
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Originally posted by Qwenn
NASA say not to touch any of it, or take it away, as it is their property, I am sure that they would back up that claim by law if you did, however if the satalite flattened your house, they would use the same law to deny any blame that their property had anything to do with them. Apart from that, I was under the impression that everything NASA does and owns is paid for by the American tax-payer, so how can they claim to own it. The same goes for any Apollo debris/props lying around in the cold and inhospitable depths of some dark and desolate................. film studio.

edit on 23-9-2011 by Qwenn because: spelling


If the satelite crashes through a persons house killing someone you better bet that NASA will be held responsible, and they will likely be paying millions upon millions of dollars for the accident...



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:15 AM
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accoring to my earlier simulation from the software that now isn't working with UARS it woul be over my area again at aroun 9:30 pm. If this thing is still up by tonight I will be worrie. I hope i can get into a tracking site by then. The info satelitte site took forver to loa an not sure if it is showing UARS?

Since this thing is moving at 4.85 miles per secon which equates to 17460 miles per hour this will be immpossible to track without watching one of the sites.
edit on 23-9-2011 by dreamseeker because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:20 AM
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reply to post by djz3ro
 


1in7billion thats how many peeps are on this planet
2nd



posted on Sep, 23 2011 @ 11:22 AM
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reply to post by thoughtsfull
 


Hello thoughtsfull,

I hope i'm wrong too. Its just the chain of events that has raised my brow.

The super Puma looks like and could well be the craft we saw. Also i agree with you in that it would be politically better to let the US take the lead here.

Looks like this thing could land anywhere so we will have to wait and see. Be weird if i get it right!

Thanks for your replies.
Albert



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