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IRAN Not Capable of Producing Longer-Range Missiles RUSSIA said its bottom line is that IRAN lacks appropriate structural materials for long-range systems, such as high quality aluminum. IRAN can build prototypes, but in order to be a threat to the U.S. or RUSSIA IRAN needs to produce missiles in mass quantities, and it lacks materials sufficient for the type of mass production needed to be a security threat.
--A missile threat would only develop if IRAN seceded from
the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, and successfully
developed an MRBM with a 3,000 km range and a warhead of one
--IRAN does not have the military-industrial capability to
develop such a program. If IRAN could gain access to foreign
technology, it might develop such a program but this is
unlikely due to export controls.
--In any case, even with the assistance of foreign
technology, RUSSIA assesses it will take IRAN 6-8 years to
gain the ability to launch an MRBM with a nuclear warhead.
--With regard to an ICBM, RUSSIA considers this purely
hypothetical and does not see the possibility of IRAN having
this capability for the next 10 years.
Iran poses no threat to the US or Russia directly.
So no balistic missile capability in the near future.
the whole report states both North Korea and Iran can only hurt their neighbors.
So why the focus on Iran in the US?