reply to post by yeahright
Most of the selections from 5 down are completely bogus or at least highly debateable.
• KEY 5 (Short-term economy): The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. (TRUE)
*looks around* Really? We're not in a recession? Really?
• KEY 6 (Long-term economy): Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
• KEY 7 (Policy change): The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. (TRUE)
Seems like an assinine qualifier in absence of "majority American voter approved" in front of said major changes. THAT will be a huge part of Obama's
downfall. yes, we've seen major policy changes, NO they haven't all been for the better. End of story here.
• KEY 8 (Social unrest): There is no sustained social unrest during the term. (TRUE)
I think this one is way off. The level of crime, violence, and protests in the USA has certainly ramped up several notches in the last 3 years. Look
at the sit-ins and protests on both sides of the union arguments. Look at the number of metal thefts coast to coast. Look at the Laughner incident.
Look at the anger everywhere you turn.
• KEY 9 (Scandal): The administration is untainted by major scandal. (TRUE)
Examples of taint:
Fast & Furious gun running scandal
Birth certificate farce
Absence of any tangible evidence in aleged bin Laden death
Doing an end around on Congress over Libya
I'd say all of these rank way above "presidential semen on a cocktail dress" on the importance meter... but I'm guessing that incident likely got
Clinton a (FALSE) on this guy's little dog & pony predictor show Key.
• KEY 10 (Foreign/military failure): The administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. (TRUE)
Depends on the definition of failure. Highest body counts of US troops ever recorded in Afghanistan doesn't exactly scream "SUCCESS!"
• KEY 11 (Foreign/military success): The administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. (FALSE)
Hey, at least this hack doesn't buy into the bin Laden bullpies.
• KEY 12 (Incumbent charisma): The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. (FALSE)
WOW! I'd have actually given the guy the charismatic banner here simply because of the simpletons who get all doe eyed over his aura. Again I am
mildly surprised at the Key's qualifier on this one.
• KEY 13 (Challenger charisma): The challenging-party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. (TRUE)
I can't really disagree with this one, other than to say KEYs 12 & 13 seem a bit pointless, IMO. Look at 2008. Obama was charismatic as all hell,
but was/is about as far from being a national hero as one can get. McCain was a bonafide national hero, but had the charisma of a moist towelette.
National hero is mildly subjective, charisma is entirely subjective.
edit on 30-8-2011 by burdman30ott6 because: (no reason given)