posted on Aug, 26 2011 @ 09:28 PM
Regarding M8... Out of curiosity, I searched this term in Google scholar: "Keilis-Borok's M8 prediction methodology" and came up with this paper
Earthquake Prediction: State of the Art and Emerging
written by Vladimir Keilis-Borok. Looks like the paper is dated 2002.
An excerpt from the paper reveals this regarding the M8 earthquake prediction algorithm:
"This algorithm was designed by retrospective analysis of seismicity preceding the greatest (M 8) earthquakes
worldwide, hence its name. We describe it using as an example the recent prediction of major earthquake in Southern Sumatera, Indonesia, on June 4,
2000, M D 8.0. That prediction was part of the Russian-American experiment in advance prediction of strongest earthquakes worldwide."
It goes on to give the specifics of the algorithm and how it "works" (sorry not a math person
), and how several other prediction methodologies
that were used have worked. The paper also states that: "Algorithm M8 successfully predicted all six strong earthquakes that occurred from
1992–2000.", making it the most successful of the algorithms used.
Now this is a long and technical read. I can't pretend I understand all of it. If the guy who posted the emails is talking about this algorithm (or
maybe not...could be a hoax) then it makes for an interesting and thought provoking read.