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A phenomenological systems approach for identifying potential precursors in multiple signals of different types for the same local seismically active region is proposed based on the assumption that a large earthquake may be preceded by a system reconfiguration (preparation) at different time and space scales. A nonstationarity factor introduced within the framework of flicker-noise spectroscopy, a statistical physics approach to the analysis of time series, is used as the dimensionless criterion for detecting qualitative (precursory) changes within relatively short time intervals in arbitrary signals.
We assume that a large earthquake may be preceded by a system reconﬁguration (preparation) at different time and space scales, which manifests itself in qualitative changes of various signals within relatively short time intervals. For example, such anomalous hydrogeochemical signals may be observed months to weeks before the impending earthquake, anomalous geoacoustic emissions - only days prior to the event, and anomalous behavior of animals - only hours before the catastrophe.
Originally posted by jadedANDcynical
Are there any reports of other fissures opening up in unexpected places?
Originally posted by jadedANDcynical
Identification of earthquake precursors in the hydrogeochemical and geoacoustic data for the Kamchatka peninsula by flicker-noise spectroscopy
The localized changes in electric and magnetic fields that reportedly accompany some seismic events span a wide range of frequencies, including ULF, VLF, ELF and RF fields, and were observed in the time frame from 2-3 years to dozens of minutes prior to an earthquake.
Seismic precursory signals encompass foreshocks that typically take place less than 30 days before the main shock and high-frequency (acoustic emission) and very low-frequency precursory signals that are not detected by conventional seismographs
I think it's partly to do with harmonics of some kind. Or resonance, if you will. A poor analogy would be that if you take a crystal wine glass and rub the rim you can make it ring -- if you use the right amount of pressure and rub it in just the right way. Oddly, exerting less pressure but applying the "rub" in a very precise way can make the glass ring more than heavier pressure will if applied in a slightly-less-than-right way, if you follow.
Multiples of the fundamental frequency are also called harmonics. The fundamental frequency is the first harmonic, the second harmonic corresponds to the first overtone,the third harmonic is the second overtone, and so on.
Musical instruments produce a series of overtones (or higher harmonics) superimposed on the fundamental frequency. This causes the sounds produced by these different sources to be distinguishable.
Saturday, September 17, 2011 at 08:59:30 UTC
Saturday, September 17, 2011 at 08:59:30 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
59.1 km (36.7 miles)
219 km (136 miles) SSW of Severo-Kuril'sk, Kuril Islands, Russia
531 km (329 miles) SSW of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia
664 km (412 miles) NE of Kuril'sk, Kuril Islands
1915 km (1189 miles) NE of TOKYO, Japan
THE EMPIRICAL MODEL Consider for a moment what is taught in every high school and university, that the Earth developed in 4.6 billion years, turning at its current size, with a supercontinent and continental drift. The concept of expansion will challenge many readers' knowledge of the Earth's development. Yet, even the look of today's Earth suggests a very different course of development. Now with a live model of expansion and an approach that rationalises the planet's features, readers may re-evaluate the tenets of traditional thought.
When a spherical object expands radially, any object on its surface will maintain its position. The object does not move laterally on the surface. It maintains position naturally because it has a neutral tangent point which follows a conceptual radial line to the centre of the sphere. The tangent point does not move from this centre line during expansion and thus prevents the object from moving. Expansion merely extends the radial line and the object remains anchored in place; the object is simply transported on the expanding surface, along the radial line.
HOW CAN THE EARTH EXPAND? In the process of creating the live model, the primary concern was not how the Earth could expand. An in-depth analysis of the physics was beyond the scope of this project. However, a general overview is appropriate. Mentioned for the interested reader is the book Environment of Violence Ref 11 and its successor Expanding Geospheres Ref 12. Author C. Warren Hunt, in association with Lorence G. Collins and E. A. Skobelin, a leading Russian geologist, promotes new insights consistent with carbide-hydride systematics. Hunt's general concern is the heat-induced chemical reaction and expansion potential of inorganic matter. As a field engineer he staunchly opposes the drift theory and enhances an expansion concept which parallels S. Warren Carey's. Vladimir N. Larin's revolutionary idea of hydrogen systematics came so close to Hunt`s own ideas that Hunt translated his Hydridic Earth Ref 13. The book, according to a reviewer, promotes to geologists and geophysicists the riches of a Russian scientific literature that will greatly enlarge the scope of Western thinking. Another author sympathetic to the concept of catastrophic events is Derek Ager. Periodic upheaval is his theme. This stratigraphicus extraordinaire is, in The New Catastrophism Ref 14, confused by the inadequacy of geological record. His experience tells him that the stones are constantly lying to us. Perhaps the stones tell the truth if regarded from a different angle. A particularly interesting possibility for the Earth's expansion potential is Dr. Hugh Owen's plasma core.
Earthquakes Reveal "Ocean" Wysession and former graduate student Jesse Lawrence discovered the damp spot by observing how seismic waves from distant earthquakes pass through Earth's mantle. The wet zone, which runs from Indonesia to the northern tip of Russia, showed up as an area of relatively weak rock, causing the seismic waves to lose strength much more rapidly than elsewhere (see map of Asia.) The water got there by the process of plate tectonics, in which sections of the Earth's crust shift. This process caused the ocean bottom to be pulled beneath continental plates all around the Pacific Rim. Normally, Earth's internal heat bakes the water out of the rocks before it gets more than 60 miles (100 kilometers) deep. The water then escapes upward as volcanic gas.
Originally posted by SkepticOverlord
We're working on a new solution for member picture/image uploads as the media center code has become unsustainable for a list of growing reasons.
The new code is installed and being tested, and we're ironing on a few bugs, so please be patient, it will be worth the wait.
It will be tightly integrated with the discussion board, and you'll be able to...
Upload images from the reply or new thread form...
Upload an image directly from the account page for your avatar or mini-profile background...
Upload images from the "tools" menu...
Be able to resize your images when uploading...
All with no additional log-ins.
I kinda suspect there are many connections within and on the earth that we dont know about. I liken it to acupuncture. Touch one thing and it affects somewhere else. [...] Now, I dont know what to make of it, but the only way we'll ever know about these connections is through documenting them and then seeing if patterns emerge.
[...] I wonder why the magic 3 days? Why should energy take 3 days to propagate through the lithosphere? If that's only around 100km thick, maybe you could check to see if the earthquakes you 'predicted' (that's not a derogatory comment Mike) were within 100km depth? May help add to your theory.