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[...] I'd like to ask members to keep an eye out for any significant quake activity in the region of Nth Afghanistan, especially around the Hindu Kush region and NW towards Tajikistan and over to Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, which all border the Afghani region I mentioned. There was a mag 4.5 in the Hindu Kush region yesterday (ie Wednesday) and while it could be significant I am more concerned about potential events at least a mag higher.
Just to give you all an idea of why I mentioned the Afghani region, have a look on Google earth or wherever and see what part of the world is almost exactly 180 degrees away from 36 to 37 N and 60 degrees E. That is, exactly on the other side of the world, you see. (Namely, around 36 to 37 N and 120 W.)
[...] The other day (yesterday??) I posted that a seismic event could occur elsewhere that might seem unconnected (to the matter at hand in the US) but actually is connected, but in ways that are either not understood or even considered possible.[...]
Anyway, this latest quake in the Afghani Hindu Kush region is basically what I was talking about. It's the connection I meant. One of them, anyway.
Please also keep an eye on the Kamchatka region. I will probably post specific details tomorrow. (ie in about 12 hours from now.)
Referring back to my short post from yesterday about the Kamchatka region, I'd like to now post a prediction. I am expecting a quake in this region of at least a magnitude 5.0 but more likely in the 6.0 range, with a time window within the next three days. The most likely region is actually in the Nth Kuril Islands, in the circle I've added to the map below, at approx 153E, 47N, but I have to state that historically, the fault region NE of here within the Kamchatka region itself is known to be unstable and could be affected.
Anyway here's the map:
Today Dec 22 (ie three days after I made this prediction) there was a mag 5.0 quake in the Kuril Islands. The USGS data page is below:
This quake's coordinates of 46.528°N, 152.582°E are within half a degree of what I stated as the "target area" (as I call it.)
The map I posted with the original prediction on Dec 19 (which is in that post) and today's map from USGS showing the quake's location are reproduced below for anyone to compare:
MAP 6.2 2011/09/16 21:08:06 40.221 143.050 20.2 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.5 2011/09/16 20:11:15 40.305 143.180 19.0 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 5.2 2011/09/16 19:39:46 40.403 142.034 10.4 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
MAP 6.6 2011/09/16 19:26:42 40.288 142.727 36.3 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Originally posted by RoguePhilosopher
When you have an email trail that is vague from each contributer with not one person stating a one clear specific or even asking a clear specific question? i.e. request for info!
Then its unlikely to be geniune and most likely constructed by some dumb f..k nerd!
Originally posted by Aggie Man
My BS detector is going off big time. First off, EQs can not be predicted; let alone magnitude of future EQ. Secondly, this is a brand spanking new member and that was their first and only post. Lastly, They left very vague information without explaining further.
I smell an attention seeking troll.
Originally posted by jadedANDcynical
I have very little formal education. I am (and always have been) largely self-taught. I don't even have a high school diploma but rather only G.E.D. So on paper I'm below average. I don't know if this will color the way in which my posts are though of, but I do want everyone to know this.
What I do have is an insatiable curiosity, an ability to read and quickly assimilate new information and ideas, the capacity for outside the box thinking(probably the norm here at ATS), an intuitive ability of pattern recognition, an almost unconscious ability to see relationships, causes/effects (even very tenuously connected ones), and a pretty good ability to recall things.
If I don't remember something specific I can figure it of by asking good questions (probably the most important trait of a researcher).
I'm not afraid to make mistakes, as those often tmes will allow one to learn more than a success, or to entertain completely absurd ideas.
Right, so, again I want to say thanks to everyone who has found any worth in my work here and am glad to know that my contributing helps, amateur though it is.
Originally posted by Bugglesby
Sigh - it sounds nuts! I think I had better go back to page one of this thread!!edit on 16-9-2011 by Bugglesby because: credit where credit's due!
Originally posted by tmiddlebrook36
But the bottom line is, the plates are in motion and heating up. Big ones.....probably everywhere soon as far as I can tell. In fact they already are happening. And all that released pressure is going somewhere else....
**** Closest post to date. And, yes, I do log on to read what people are writing as I cannot be responsible for information being entirely leaked. You should ALL doubt me. In science, skepticism is the most priceless position. Nothing came from our MB yesterday, (simply stated: Morning Briefing). People are trying to piece a ton of information together and this science is so very new and the data sometimes contradicting, so you can imagine their hesitation. Bottom line; there is specific and credible information supporting theories being presented, modified, and redetermined on literally an hourly basis. Please reread GESS. Some of you are nearly spot on in theory. I remain skeptical myself, however I have been around this world for many years and never before has science pointed in one direction more. Stay prepared.
The scientists found that the strongest deep warming occurred in the water around Antarctica, and the warming lessens as it spreads around the globe. The temperature increases are small — about 0.05 degrees Fahrenheit (0.03 degrees Celsius) per decade in the deep Southern Ocean, and less elsewhere. But the large volume of the ocean over which they are found and the high capacity of water to absorb heat means that this warming accounts for a huge amount of energy storage.
So, how much energy are we talking about here to heat that volume of water?
This amount of energy would be the equivalent of giving every person on Earth five 1,400-Watt hair dryers, and running them constantly during the 20-year study period, said study team member and oceanographer Gregory Johnson of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
And how much of the rise in sea level is attributable to this portion of energy released into the oceas?
Sea level has been rising at around one-eighth of an inch (3 millimeters) per year on average since 1993, with about half of that caused by the ocean expanding as it's heated, and the other half due to additional water added to the ocean, mostly from melting continental ice.
The oceanographers note that deep warming of the Southern Ocean accounts for about one-twentieth of an inch (1.2 mm) per year of the sea-level rise around Antarctica in the past two decades.
Originally posted by westcoast
TM hasn't said anything...which right now, I am feeling is a good thing. Right?
Japans new rash of quakes is still weighing on me...as is the slow-down on the West Coast. I have noticed this pattern before. Almost like an inhalation/exhalation. The lack of deep tremors AGAIN today solidifies that perception. Be prepared for an uptick in quakes along the coast again...in the next 24-48 hrs. (hopefully she lets her breath out slowly. )
The analysis of two global data sets of large earthquakes (2010 - 2011, 30 samples of M ≥ 7R and 1901-2011, 178 samples of M ≥ 8R) reveals that there exists a cause and effect relation between the vertical tidal M1 component amplitude peak and the time of occurrence of the latter EQs. A physical model mechanism is postulated that justifies the obtained results. It is shown that the tidal waves can trigger a large EQ, despite their small amplitude, provided that the seismogenic area is under critical stress load conditions.
The results of this analysis have shown that the vertical component of M1 triggers a significant number of large EQs exactly on the peak of its amplitude. This is due to the fact that the lithosphere is driven at maxima of stress load at the same time as the M1 amplitude peak. The no. of the EQs that coincide with the M1 peak is well above (133.31% and 72%) from what is expected as a random coincidence.
I here demonstrate empirically my georesonator concept in which tidally induced magnification of Earth masses' resonance causes seismicity. To that end, I show that all strong (~M6+) earthquakes of 2010 occurred during the Earth's long (t > 3 day) astronomical alignments within our solar system. I then show that the same holds true for all very strong (~M8+) earthquakes of the decade of 2000's. Finally, the strongest (M8.6+) earthquakes of the past century are shown to have occurred during the Earth's multiple long alignments, whereas half of the high-strongest (M9+) ones occurred during Full Moon. I used the comet C/2010 X1 (Elenin), as it has been adding to robustness in terms of very strong seismicity since 2007 (in terms of strongest seismicity: since 1965). The Elenin will continue intensifying the Earth's very strong seismicity until August-October, 2011. Approximate forecast of earthquakes based on my discoveries is feasible. This demonstration proves my hyperresonator concept, arrived at earlier as a mathematical-physical solution to the most general extension of the georesonator concept possible.