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Originally posted by OtherSideOfTheCoin
I do not think it is a fair assessment that the war between Iraq and Iran helped keep Iran in check. Saddam came to power in 1979, when the Iranian resolution took place. Saddam was in power when Iran took hostages and throughout their policy of funding Hezbollah and Hamas which was not kept in check. Also remember the Iran contra scandal, America provided arms to Iran during this war and at the same time also aided Iraq and some have argued that Iraq’s use of Chemical weapons during this war resulted in the Iranians exploring their own WMD programs. It would be a oversimplification of history to argue that the Iran Iraq war kept Iran “in check”
Originally posted by Jakes51
I have seen that video in the past, and it is very intriguing! Fact of the matter, Iraq has always been a quagmire. As calamitous as the Middle East is with all the bloodshed and mayhem, but Iraq has a place of its own in all that. It is the melting pot of the Middle East. To put simply, there are people from all walks of life living side by side with different cultures, political views, languages, religions, and ethnic groups. That alone would make it a quagmire for any nation bent on conquest and occupation. Dick Cheney knew that back in 1991 during the First Gulf War, and when he sat down for the interview in 1994.
There was no real necessity of taking down Saddam Hussein and his Baathe Regime before 2003. By all accounts the military operation during the First Gulf War was a success and met all of its objectives. Iraqi troops were drawn out of Kuwait, the Saudi Kingdom was secured and along with the oil fields, and the Hussein regime had an emerging insurgency to deal with when the Shiites rose up in the south. Then there was the no-fly zone in the north, and the sanctions imposed by the UN which came later. Perhaps Western leaders and military planners thought his military machine was so depleted by the long Iran/Iraq War and Gulf War 1, the no-fly zone, and sanctions that he would collapse under his own weight? So why stir-up things more than they are?
As far as I see it, he was a dictator of convenience for the West. I know that belief will gain objections. However, he was a buffer to Iranian expansion, and cracked down on radicals and revolutionaries. By running a virtual police state, the proliferation of terrorism and radicalization could not proliferate from the center of the region. So it was a matter of convenience to not do anything, and sit on the matter of ousting Saddam Hussein.
Then came the event in 2001, and the Bush 2 administration. They were high on the public's support at the time, and decided to go after the low lying fruit. Saddam Hussein's regime was teetering, radicalization and extremism was everywhere, oil access was at risk, Iran was emerging as a strong regional power. The event in 2001 gave them an opportunity to set up a forward operating base in the center of the Middle East. With that, they would be able exert more pressure on Iran, protect access to the oil, and groom a pro-West regime. It was all a matter of being in the right place and the right time. World events at the time afforded the Bush administration the opportunity to invade, and occupy Iraq. At that time, they were aware of Iraq becoming a potential quagmire as they were earlier. Strike while the kettle is hot, and let the chips fall where they may.
Originally posted by Paulioetc15
Originally posted by Jakes51
I have seen that video in the past, and it is very intriguing! Fact of the matter, Iraq has always been a quagmire. As calamitous as the Middle East is with all the bloodshed and mayhem, but Iraq has a place of its own in all that. It is the melting pot of the Middle East. To put simply, there are people from all walks of life living side by side with different cultures, political views, languages, religions, and ethnic groups. That alone would make it a quagmire for any nation bent on conquest and occupation. Dick Cheney knew that back in 1991 during the First Gulf War, and when he sat down for the interview in 1994.
There was no real necessity of taking down Saddam Hussein and his Baathe Regime before 2003. By all accounts the military operation during the First Gulf War was a success and met all of its objectives. Iraqi troops were drawn out of Kuwait, the Saudi Kingdom was secured and along with the oil fields, and the Hussein regime had an emerging insurgency to deal with when the Shiites rose up in the south. Then there was the no-fly zone in the north, and the sanctions imposed by the UN which came later. Perhaps Western leaders and military planners thought his military machine was so depleted by the long Iran/Iraq War and Gulf War 1, the no-fly zone, and sanctions that he would collapse under his own weight? So why stir-up things more than they are?
As far as I see it, he was a dictator of convenience for the West. I know that belief will gain objections. However, he was a buffer to Iranian expansion, and cracked down on radicals and revolutionaries. By running a virtual police state, the proliferation of terrorism and radicalization could not proliferate from the center of the region. So it was a matter of convenience to not do anything, and sit on the matter of ousting Saddam Hussein.
Then came the event in 2001, and the Bush 2 administration. They were high on the public's support at the time, and decided to go after the low lying fruit. Saddam Hussein's regime was teetering, radicalization and extremism was everywhere, oil access was at risk, Iran was emerging as a strong regional power. The event in 2001 gave them an opportunity to set up a forward operating base in the center of the Middle East. With that, they would be able exert more pressure on Iran, protect access to the oil, and groom a pro-West regime. It was all a matter of being in the right place and the right time. World events at the time afforded the Bush administration the opportunity to invade, and occupy Iraq. At that time, they were aware of Iraq becoming a potential quagmire as they were earlier. Strike while the kettle is hot, and let the chips fall where they may.
The reason why the no-fly-zones was set up by the U.S. and it's allies in order to keep madmen aka Saddam from watch. UNSCR 688 said that Saddam was not allowed to kill it's people. During the 1991 uprising in Iraq, Kurdish and Shia muslims rebels were trying to overthrow Saddamm's Hussein regime with US promise support. Instead, the US left them in the swing of the Desert as the Saddam's strongest unit the Republican Guard slaugetered them in the Desert and buried as result. It's one of the reasons why the no-fly-zones was set up so that Saddam won't oppress the Kurds with WMDs which he had done in 1988 from the air. Any of the Iraqi forces went into restricted areas of the Kurds and Shia Islams, they get bombed as a result. They were 22 resolutions against Iraq and they violated 17 of the 22 resolutions. Of course they signed an agreement that Iraq agree to depose his WMDs under UN inspectors eyes. Instead Saddam booted them out whether they tired to check his WMDs. The UN didn't do anything about it either eithet they're stupid or being bribed by Saddam.
Anyways i still hold my belief we should have went into Baghdad in 1991. The 2003 war was botched up because we had noo coalition, poorly planned and executed, poorly managed by George Bush junior.
Originally posted by Jakes51
Originally posted by Paulioetc15
Originally posted by Jakes51
I have seen that video in the past, and it is very intriguing! Fact of the matter, Iraq has always been a quagmire. As calamitous as the Middle East is with all the bloodshed and mayhem, but Iraq has a place of its own in all that. It is the melting pot of the Middle East. To put simply, there are people from all walks of life living side by side with different cultures, political views, languages, religions, and ethnic groups. That alone would make it a quagmire for any nation bent on conquest and occupation. Dick Cheney knew that back in 1991 during the First Gulf War, and when he sat down for the interview in 1994.
There was no real necessity of taking down Saddam Hussein and his Baathe Regime before 2003. By all accounts the military operation during the First Gulf War was a success and met all of its objectives. Iraqi troops were drawn out of Kuwait, the Saudi Kingdom was secured and along with the oil fields, and the Hussein regime had an emerging insurgency to deal with when the Shiites rose up in the south. Then there was the no-fly zone in the north, and the sanctions imposed by the UN which came later. Perhaps Western leaders and military planners thought his military machine was so depleted by the long Iran/Iraq War and Gulf War 1, the no-fly zone, and sanctions that he would collapse under his own weight? So why stir-up things more than they are?
As far as I see it, he was a dictator of convenience for the West. I know that belief will gain objections. However, he was a buffer to Iranian expansion, and cracked down on radicals and revolutionaries. By running a virtual police state, the proliferation of terrorism and radicalization could not proliferate from the center of the region. So it was a matter of convenience to not do anything, and sit on the matter of ousting Saddam Hussein.
Then came the event in 2001, and the Bush 2 administration. They were high on the public's support at the time, and decided to go after the low lying fruit. Saddam Hussein's regime was teetering, radicalization and extremism was everywhere, oil access was at risk, Iran was emerging as a strong regional power. The event in 2001 gave them an opportunity to set up a forward operating base in the center of the Middle East. With that, they would be able exert more pressure on Iran, protect access to the oil, and groom a pro-West regime. It was all a matter of being in the right place and the right time. World events at the time afforded the Bush administration the opportunity to invade, and occupy Iraq. At that time, they were aware of Iraq becoming a potential quagmire as they were earlier. Strike while the kettle is hot, and let the chips fall where they may.
The reason why the no-fly-zones was set up by the U.S. and it's allies in order to keep madmen aka Saddam from watch. UNSCR 688 said that Saddam was not allowed to kill it's people. During the 1991 uprising in Iraq, Kurdish and Shia muslims rebels were trying to overthrow Saddamm's Hussein regime with US promise support. Instead, the US left them in the swing of the Desert as the Saddam's strongest unit the Republican Guard slaugetered them in the Desert and buried as result. It's one of the reasons why the no-fly-zones was set up so that Saddam won't oppress the Kurds with WMDs which he had done in 1988 from the air. Any of the Iraqi forces went into restricted areas of the Kurds and Shia Islams, they get bombed as a result. They were 22 resolutions against Iraq and they violated 17 of the 22 resolutions. Of course they signed an agreement that Iraq agree to depose his WMDs under UN inspectors eyes. Instead Saddam booted them out whether they tired to check his WMDs. The UN didn't do anything about it either eithet they're stupid or being bribed by Saddam.
Anyways i still hold my belief we should have went into Baghdad in 1991. The 2003 war was botched up because we had noo coalition, poorly planned and executed, poorly managed by George Bush junior.
I am aware of why the no-fly zones were established. It was to protect vulnerable groups from air raids and atrocities like the one hatched by Saddam Hussein in the 80's against the Kurds, and the brutal crack down of the Shiites after the First Gulf War. Why Bush senior did not go into Baghdad is simple. It was not part of the missions objectives, and if he would have decided to push forward coalition support would have ended.
As for not supporting the Shiites in the south, and especially after the President publicly supported them? That is a mystery, but I think they may have thought support would have came from Iran who are closely aligned with the Shiites in Iraq? Again that is merely my opinion, but the Iraq military machine was severely pounded by the First Gulf War, and that may of had a role in why no one came to the aid of the Shiites in the south. Perhaps, they thought it could have been handle by them personally or with support from Iran? If they had aligned themselves with the rebels in Iraq after the war in 1991, it would have been like Libya on steroids.
About the weapons inspectors? That is another hairy subject, and it is widely believed that Saddam Hussein had some shady dealings with the UN and international corporations through bribes and other illicit political affairs. The Oil for Food program was wrought with fraud. The true scope of it is still a mystery, and we have only really seen the tip of the iceberg on that.
As for march on Baghdad in 1991. That is a mixed bag for me. Still, I think there was no military necessity to push further and risk losing international support in the melee that would follow like what happened after the 2003 invasion. By all accounts every military objective was met by the First Gulf War, and with minimal casualties on the part of the coalition and depletion of resources. Saddam was sent home along with his army with their tales between their legs, and why risk a long scale campaign which would have followed if invasion and occupation happened in 1991? It would have been at an enormous cost in lives and treasure. That is my opinion on the subject.
Originally posted by Paulioetc15
It's true that Bush Sr didn't go into Baghdad in 1991 because we would have lost support from the coalition. Congress only authorized Bush Sr. to go under UN control. Also after the successful Liberation of Kuwait, Bush Sr. did requested the United Nations Security Council that he pushed into Iraq and topple Saddam Hussein's regime from power. Britain and Australia agree with us but rest of it's coalition allies said the objectives was done. We didn't mind going in but we would be viewed that we just as bad as Saddam if we rushed into Baghdad in 1991.
Originally posted by Jakes51
reply to Originally posted by Paulioetc15
Very good points! This back and forth can go on all night. You have brought up some good points and significant validation of them. Still, what happened happened. Could of, should of, and would of does not get us anywhere. It is what it is. However, for me personally, I have no real opinion on going into Iraq in 1991 or not.
The crust of my responses are only mere speculations from observations I have made of the situation, and how they may have played a role in what took place after the Gulf War. Perhaps, if things had went down as you say, the world be a lot different? We will never know? I appreciate your well thought out responses, and you may be on to something here?edit on 28-8-2011 by Jakes51 because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by SLAYER69 reply to post by Paulioetc15
Do we have a source for this? Even though it was a coalition Bush Sr was calling the shots not the UN. He pretty much pulled the plug after the images of the Iraqi Army division that was caught out in the open and slaughtered on the highway of Death were being plastered all over the News services.
General Schwarzkopf said "had they wanted" to go to Baghdad there really wasn't anything left standing in their way. Bush Sr never requested to go to Baghdad from the UN. I'm sorry but that sounds like a bit of historical revision to me.
Originally posted by Paulioetc15
Do you agree with him that 1991 invasion of Baghdad would result a civil war like the one in 2003?
In 2003 invasion, what went wrong? I heard that was wasn't enough troops on the ground in 2003.
Originally posted by nenothtu
Originally posted by Paulioetc15
Do you agree with him that 1991 invasion of Baghdad would result a civil war like the one in 2003?
In 2003 invasion, what went wrong? I heard that was wasn't enough troops on the ground in 2003.
I think it probably would have, especially if conducted the way it was in 2003. It might have been over somewhat sooner, though, given that we had them on the run in '91, routed and in disarray. If the pressure had been kept on, it would have likely disrupted subsequent organization for a "civil war"
Another factor may have been that the abrupt about face and pullout we did back then was viewed as a weakness, and gave encouragement for the resistance in the later war. We had them panicked, and they knew it, and for us to cut and run like that would likely have been seen as an encouraging sign that they panicked US, too, and made them bolder for the resistance in the second war.
Originally posted by nenothtu
reply to post by Paulioetc15
Yes, we should have been, rather than leaving a war half done. That's half-assed, and why I consider the first Gulf War a political loss, although it would have been a military cake walk, We were within 8 hours of Baghdad, and had met NO opposition worth speaking of, and "King George I" just called in the dogs and pissed on the fire. leaving the country to fester.