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Democrat David Weprin holds a scant, six-point lead over Republican Bob Turner in a Sept. 13 special election to replace disgraced former Rep. Anthony Weiner, D-N.Y., according to a new Siena Research Institute poll released Wednesday.
Weprin leads Turner among likely voters, 48 percent to 42 percent. Nine percent are undecided.
By most measures, New York's 9th District is an unlikely electoral battleground between the two parties -- even in the volatile realm of special elections. According to data from the New York State Board of Elections, registered Democrats outnumber Republicans in the Queens- and Brooklyn-based district, 57 percent to 18 percent. The Siena sample is even more Democratic (61 percent Democrats, 17 percent Republicans, 19 percent independents). But while the district has a heavy Democratic registration edge, it gave Obama just 55 percent of the vote in 2008. Weiner beat Turner in 2010 by a wider, 22-point margin.