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Democrat David Weprin holds a scant, six-point lead over Republican Bob Turner in a Sept. 13 special election to replace disgraced former Rep. Anthony Weiner, D-N.Y., according to a new Siena Research Institute poll released Wednesday.
Weprin leads Turner among likely voters, 48 percent to 42 percent. Nine percent are undecided.
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By most measures, New York's 9th District is an unlikely electoral battleground between the two parties -- even in the volatile realm of special elections. According to data from the New York State Board of Elections, registered Democrats outnumber Republicans in the Queens- and Brooklyn-based district, 57 percent to 18 percent. The Siena sample is even more Democratic (61 percent Democrats, 17 percent Republicans, 19 percent independents). But while the district has a heavy Democratic registration edge, it gave Obama just 55 percent of the vote in 2008. Weiner beat Turner in 2010 by a wider, 22-point margin.