BLACK FRIDAY? - 05 Aug 2011, page 13
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ATS Members have flagged this thread 51 times


reply posted on 5-8-2011 @ 08:08 PM by lildaddy985
reply to post by getreadyalready



This theory of yours makes a WHOLE LOT of sense. I never considered it. Very intuitive of you!!!


reply posted on 5-8-2011 @ 09:05 PM by followingpythagoras
reply to post by galdur



Crap. I don't know what else to say, but Crap.
I would say "Oh My God - I can't believe we've been downgraded", but I figured it was coming.
Still sucks to actually see it happen. Hopefully it will all be for the best in the long run.
My 19 year old son just called me and asked what that meant, and why were they announcing it on a Friday, and what was going to happen.
I told him it would be the same if he, on his salary, went out and got loans and bought a house he couldn't afford, along with a bunch of furniture he couldn't afford, and a few cars he couldn't afford. And then got a bunch of credit cards to help him pay for all of the other stuff. Eventually, if he didn't quit spending so much and didn't make any more money, he wouldn't be able to pay for the credit cards, not to mention the house, the furniture or the cars. Something would have to give.
I told him I figured they announced it Friday night so the stock market would have the weekend before it really tanked hard. Harder, I guess considering the last couple of days.
As far as what is going to happen - I'm not sure what to tell him. I don't really know - I'm 39 - I have never experienced this before. I know what would happen to an individual, but not to a nation.
I hope I explained this to him correctly - any economic people out there have any advice? Was this a good analogy?


reply posted on 5-8-2011 @ 11:26 PM by Section31
If anyone gets ticked about this, think about the downgrade like this...

Imagine for a moment you carried a $14 trillion dollar debt, and the only thing you do is pay off the interest rate. As time keeps moving forward, you keep raising your debt limit to borrow more. Even though you may be paying the interest on your loans (or credit cards), you never-ever pay anything onto the principle balance.

Now, you wake up one day, and you notice something is wrong. After checking your revenues (GDP and Taxes), you realized that they total exactly how much you owe in debt. Since you need those revenues for something else (social services, government paychecks, etc...), you cannot tap enough of it to pay the interest on outstanding loans. As your loans keep gaining in interest, the amount you take in can no longer cover the minimal payment. Other words, the interest on your loan starts to outweigh your assets and revenue.

What that all means is simple. If you cannot cover the minimal balance due each month (the interest), you will never be able to pay anything on your loan's principle.

Technically, raising your credit limit (debt ceiling) ended up breaking the bank, for it caused the interest rate on your credit card (loans to other countries) to be raised at the same time.

More money you borrow = the more interest you owe.

On top of all this crap, you have domestic liabilities to pay. Employees, telephone, power, water, roads, health care, health care for employees, social services, defense, etc... So, what gets cut from your liabilities, so you can start paying off the principle balance of your loans? Your bank (China) is now screaming for a repayment on your loans. What do you do?

I am surprised the S&P dropped the credit rating to an AA+.
I would have lowered the credit rating to at least a C+.
edit on 8/5/2011 by Section31 because: (no reason given)

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