Im a theorist with as much relevance as any scientist! I present 'The Beards Theory', page 1
Pages:
ATS Members have flagged this thread 2 times
Topic started on 4-7-2011 @ 10:38 PM by Idonthaveabeard
Ok so I was looking at the 'Occam Razor' theory which goes like this "the razor is a principle that suggests we should tend towards simpler theories".

BAsically saying if your looking for an explanation look at the simplest answer because thats what it most likely is true.

For a long time ive had my own theory which is kind of along these lines I shall call it 'beards theory'.

This is that the majority of people are MORE LIKELY to believe the easiest answer, not that they SHOULD believe it but they are more likely to anyway.

For a basic example lets use 9/11. The bloke on the news says planes were hi-jacked and crashed into towers, the BEard Theory suggests the majoirty of people go 'ah ok that explains it all' and move on, which we know thats exactly what happens!! Now, If someone was to say, are you SURE thats exactly how it happened though? The Beard theory would say that this person would then laugh at you and say 'of course thats what happened, thats what the guy on the news said'. BUT, its not only about the guy on the news saying it, its also because its the easiest variation of events for one to believe, it makes sense. If you only look at the little picture its almost logical. Now how knows why this is, because they done care? Because they are scared? Or because they are easily lead/narrow minded? Or maybe just something they WANT to believe? So they stick to their beliefs like glue.

To me someone who doesnt subscribe to my Beards Theory is one who keeps an open mind to everything, who looks at each side of the argument and form an opinion based on that. so say if I said to someone 'I think 9/11 is more than they say'. The non beard theory subscriber would -instead of laugh it off like im crazy- ask me to go into more detail and keep an open mind to my side of the argument and look into it, maybe reforming their existing opinion.

I myself dont say 9/11 was DEFINATELY an inside job, its impossible to say. But having looked at evidence from both sides im convinced there is more to it than 'they' say. But thats a different debate altogether as we know.

Unfortunately, The Beards Theory will probably prove to be the downfall for many as they sleep walk their way into our new world.


reply posted on 4-7-2011 @ 10:53 PM by TheWalkingFox
reply to post by Idonthaveabeard



The problem with your hypothesis (learn the difference between "hypothesis" and "theory" please) is that it encourages infinitely complex arguments as being the "most correct."

The value of Occam's razor is that it is, more often than not, true. The simplest answer usually is the most likely one. From the angle you're going though, with your "beard" is the notion that the simplest answer is always too simple and thus one should look for more complex ones.

And then more complex than that... and then even more complex... Pretty soon the Word Trade Center was not taken down by asshats in airplanes, but by invisible space-Godzilla under the direct control of the ghost of j. Edgar Hoover in order to support the reincarnation of Marcus Vipsanius Agrippa, and the airplanes were just hallucinations caused by elves beneath the street doing something with magnets and holograms, powered by the Aztec crystal skulls.
edit on 4/7/2011 by TheWalkingFox because: (no reason given)




reply posted on 4-7-2011 @ 11:00 PM by Idonthaveabeard
reply to post by TheWalkingFox



Your kind of have a point I guess. There should always be a cut off point, but that should just be down to common sense? The Beard theory or hypothesis doesnt suggest there is ALWAYS a more complex answer, but instead encourages you to check for yourself and not to jump to a conclusion because its the easiest on offer.

Take another example, if you leave your life long best friend alone with your wife/husband while you go out for the night and come home discovering a used condom in the trash. Do you use Occams Razor or The Beards Theory?


reply posted on 4-7-2011 @ 11:13 PM by FortAnthem
reply to post by Idonthaveabeard



Its a good theory; people will believe the simplest explanation given to them because then, they don't have to exert their brains and we can't expect people to be inconvenienced by having to think, after all; American Idol is coming on soon.

The only thing I don't get is what does all this have to do with beards?

I guess that part must've gone over my head.
Pages:     ^^TOP^^



A Theory of the Federal Reserve and Petrol Dollar Reserve
  Posted 16 days ago with 4 member flags
Henrik Palmgren makes false claims re: global living
  Posted 8 days ago with 1 member flags
A few that blew the coup
  Posted 5 days ago with 1 member flags
Santos Bonacci (astrotheology)
  Posted 6 days ago with 0 member flags
Cubes, Everywhere in movies (symbolism)
  Posted 5 days ago with 0 member flags
i hear the low hum... but only inside?
  Posted 4 days ago with 0 member flags
When conspiracy theories lead to tied-up thinking.
  Posted 2 days ago with 0 member flags