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July 3 : Thailand Election Watch

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posted on Jul, 2 2011 @ 02:54 PM
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So it's already July 3 in Thailand. Voting will begin in a few hours. This election is very important. Here's why.

There's two main parties.

The party in power : The democrats, also called the ``People's Power Party`` led by Abhisit Vejjajiva, took power in 2007 in an election, after a military coup in 2006 and a new constitution, written by the military in 2007. They are backed by the Thai King and the army. Elected mainly by urban voters.

The other main party is Puea Thai Party, the ``For Thais party``, also called the ``Red Shirts``. Led by Yingluck Shinawatra, sister of the former Thai leader, Thaksin Shinawatra, exiled since 2006, after the army coup.

Now. The Puea Thai Party, according to polls, will win, maybe even get a majority.

Thing is, since the army overthrew the Puea Thai Party government in 2006 and they also killed 91 people in 2010 when they protested, if the red shirts actually come to power, they might have some score to settle and some people in the army and the government might end up in jail for their crimes... Of course they don't want that...

So there's big speculations that if the Red Shirts win power, the army is gonna do another coup. Of course they deny it...

Land of the Lost

The military has staged 18 coups or attempted coups since 1932. A 19th is possible if Pheu Thai wins power and goes after the generals who ousted Thaksin. Generals have recently lined up to deny the constant rumors of an impending coup. Thais have good reason to doubt them. "There definitely won't be a coup," said Sonthi in 2006, even as he was plotting one.


To avoid a military coup, which they know the army wants to do, the red shirts are promising amnesty for the army for their coup in 2006, and amnesty to all those who attacked and killed protesters in 2010.

Will these promises be enough?


A few more news :

The trouble started before the election...
Thai troops arrested for ‘intimidating voters

New evidence is emerging of the Thai Army intimidating ordinary Thai voters in pro-Red Shirt and opposition Pheu Thai Party supporting areas in the run up to this Sunday’s general election.


Why the Democrats will lose the Thai election

Despite seemingly having a good chance of winning enough seats to form the next government a few months ago, things have gone very badly for the Democrats. Three major reasons: (1) Yingluck, (2) rising prices/inflation, and (3) failure to communicate policies/connect with voters. Without (2) though you can’t get the rise of (1).

Yingluck, which has great charism. Inflation, because of the Federal Reserve's QE policy exporting inflation...

Coups, massacres and the Afghan War – WikiLeaks and the US-Thai military relationship

Yet, for me, the general gossipy speculative tone of most of the cables released so far reveals little about what I consider to be one of the most important, though least discussed, elements in the entire Thai-USA relationship – that of undimmed military support by the USA for the profoundly anti-democratic and murderous Thai Army.

For anyone with even a middling interest in Thai history or politics the Thai Army’s numerous coups (18 and counting), massacres at Tak Bai and Krue Se (both 2004), Bangkok (1973, 1976, 1992, 2010), the vicious treatment of Communist-sympathising farmers in the 1970s, the deaths of Rohingya refugees in the last couple of years and a very well-deserved reputation for unbridled corruption, are all irrefutable facts.

That such a powerful anti-democratic force has taken part in all these acts with almost limitless and continuing support from the USA, mainly in the form of arms and training, is simply staggering. And according to one of the recently released cables (for an abridged version see below) this symbiotic relationship (USA support for the Thai Army secures plenty of regional assets and meaty defence contracts for the American military-industrial complex) yields huge benefits for both parties.


Leaked cable shows USA influencing Thai law & justice system for 60 years

The March 20, 2009 leaked embassy cable covers more than 60-years of US involvement in Thailand, noting the country’s Office of the Narcotics Control Board (ONCB) – established in 1976 by the Narcotics Control Act, B.E. 2519 – in addition to the Thai Border Patrol Police and Royal Thai Police Special Branch, were established with U.S. funding.

The leaked Bangkok embassy cable notes that since 1963 when the US Drug Enforcement Administration’s (US-DEA) predecessor, the Federal Bureau of Narcotics (See: War on drugs a failure says international group), commenced operation in the kingdom the focus has been on counter-narcotics, noting that the US-DEA now maintains several offices throughout the country, as well as in several neighboring countries, “enjoying remarkable freedom of action in-country and high levels of cooperation (including the right to carry weapons and freely conduct investigations, with the RTP [Royal Thai Police] making the final arrests)”.

Somehow, the stinking US DEA is in Thailand...

Why is the Puea Thai logo on the ballot paper so small?

Puea Thai are No. 1 and you see there logo is barely legible. The complaint is not that people won’t realize that Puea Thai is No. 1, but that they will put the X in the logo box instead of the box on the right-hand side (which is the correct box)

Typical election fraud by the ones in power...

Thai army chief Prayuth urges vote for 'good people'

Thailand's powerful army chief has gone on state television to urge people to vote for what he called good people in the forthcoming general election.

That is clearly a threat... vote like we want or else!

Sanan warns of civil war if rifts persist

Political stability will continue to be elusive after the July 3 elections if national reconciliation is not pursued in earnest by the next government, says Chartthaipattana Party's chief adviser Sanan Kachornprasart.

Yep.

One year after the Bangkok Massacre: US Marines train Thai military snipers

It is now hardly disputed by anyone except Abhisit and various other establishment and military stooges that the Thai Army shot dozens of unarmed civilians last year in central Bangkok. What is also indisputable is that many of these deaths came through the use of snipers – video footage from CNN even captured them in action.

So who trains these Thai military snipers to be so efficient in the execution of their duties?

Enter none other than the US Marine Corps.


Goldman Sachs warns of economic collapse if the democrats are not reelected

You made a Facebook comment recently about foreign investors being scared off by Pheu Thai economic policies which has led to a fall in the value of the SET [Thai stock exchange]. Do you think that these foreign investors might also be scared of a coup, or, as Chartthaipattana Party’s chief adviser Sanan Kachornprasart stated the other day, a civil war?

I’ve only been reading the reports. I didn’t make it up. There is negative sentiment and the market turned negative because the polls began to challenge what was prior to that the perceived wisdom that after the election the same government would come back. The polls began to point to a Pheu Thai win and that obviously caused some serious uncertainty. Markets don’t like uncertainty and that’s the reason why there is a sell-off. There’s a direct corelation and that’s pretty much explained by the reports.

Which reports are these?

Credit-Suisse, Goldman Sachs, Kim Eng.

Basically... elect the red shirts and Goldman Sachs predicts the economy will crash... So now you know who the elite backs.
edit on 2-7-2011 by Vitchilo because: (no reason given)




posted on Jul, 3 2011 @ 01:57 PM
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Horachaikul: The issue that will bring people back into the streets vs Yingluck and Pheu Thai is amnesty for her brother, if PT pushes it.


Latest results with 95% in...

Red shirts : 257 MPs
Chart THai Pattana : 20 MPs
Chart Pattana Puea Paendin : 9 MPs

They will form a coalition.


Democrats : 116 MPs

The democrats got destroyed... not a big loss.


Some Red supporters still worried army will move to deny them power, but tonight they're celebrating.


Crowds outside Pheu Thai headquarters jubilant, chanting "Prime Minister Yingluck" and setting off fireworks.


Yingluck confirms that she has been in talks with the Chart Thai Pattana Party to form a coalition.


If Puer Thai comes up short of a majority, and are kept from power, a lot of Red Shirts will believe they've been cheated.



Now we have to watch what the army does.


7:45 p.m. Abhisit gracefully concedes defeat and congratulations Yingluck on becoming Thailand’s first female PM. He thanks those who voted for the Democrats. BUT then notes Puea Thai didn’t get 50% on party vote so says his party will oppose amnesty. He says that Democrats will be in opposition.

If this is really what happens, NO AMNESTY, that means the army will get involved... No amnesty = government going after the army and those responsible for the coup in 2006.
edit on 3-7-2011 by Vitchilo because: (no reason given)



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