Don't know if anyone's watching SOHO, but the sun's starting to get angry again. That's about the best way that I can describe it.
Also, here's an interesting article that I found:
Quote: Posted on Tue, Sep. 07, 2004
New weather patterns turn Florida into a hurricane magnet
BY MARTIN MERZER
Knight Ridder Newspapers
MIAMI - (KRT) - Charley, Frances and Ivan. Three major hurricanes. Two assaults on Florida already and possibly a third by next week. Get used to it.
This is the new normal.
Scientists say we are in a period of enhanced hurricane activity that could last for decades, ending a 24-year period of below average activity. They
also say the law of averages has caught up with Florida, with a change in atmospheric steering currents turning the state into a hurricane magnet.
``People are suddenly alert, suddenly paying attention,'' said Stanley Goldenberg, a meteorologist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration's hurricane research division on Virginia Key. ``They can see now that we are in an active era. ... - People should realize that it is
very unlikely that Frances is the last storm the U.S. will see this year.''
Which brings us to Hurricane Ivan.
Though subject to considerable error, long-range forecasts are consistently suggesting that Ivan will strike Jamaica on Friday and Cuba on Sunday as a
vicious Category 4 hurricane. The outlook improved slightly for South Florida, but the southern half of the state remained in the five-day cone of
When asked if Florida can endure another hurricane, Gov. Jeb Bush pointed Tuesday to a button he wore on his shirt. It said: ``I survived damn near
``We will survive whatever comes at us,'' he said. ``We're an incredibly resilient state. I'm not being defiant; I'm only suggesting we can meet
If Ivan hits the state, it will be the first time since 1964 that three hurricanes smacked Florida in the same year. And September and October tend to
be among the most active months of the six-month hurricane season that ends Nov. 30.
``The season is still young,'' said Max Mayfield, director of the National Hurricane Center in West Miami-Dade County. ``It certainly seems from my
perspective that we're in the active period that has been predicted. The only surprise is that Florida hasn't been hit more often in the last few
A sobering thought: Between 1941 and 1950, seven major hurricanes - with winds higher than 110 mph - attacked Florida. ``And that doesn't include the
other less powerful hurricanes,'' Goldenberg said. That 10-year period fell in the middle of a cycle of heightened activity that began in 1926 and
persisted until 1970.
Now, the combination of complacency bred during a long lull between 1971 and 1994, the new hyperactivity since 1995 and the ongoing mega-development
of Florida's coasts frightens emergency managers and scientists.
``The implications are much-increased damage when storms make landfall,'' Goldenberg said, ``and the potential for major loss of life in the event
of an evacuation foul-up during a rapidly intensifying storm.''
He has more than academic interest in this. Goldenberg and his family were nearly killed when Hurricane Andrew crushed their South Miami-Dade home in
Research he later conducted with NOAA scientist Chris Landsea, private expert William Gray and others found distinct patterns of low-activity
hurricane periods and high-activity periods, each of which endured for decades. These patterns, unrelated to the current concern over global warming,
are caused by regular cycles of oceanic and atmospheric phenomena, such as unusually warm water in hurricane breeding grounds.
One period of ``hyperactivity'' ended in 1970 and was followed by a 24-year lull. The new period of heightened activity began in 1995 and could last
for another 10 to 30 years, according to their report, which was peer-reviewed and published in 2001 in the prestigious journal Science.
In the last few years, and particularly this year, the depressing statistics related to the number, power and duration of storms appear to verify the
report's depressing conclusions, especially when major hurricanes are considered.
This is significant because, though relatively few in number, major hurricanes - Category 3 or higher - cause 80 percent of all damage from tropical
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