Northeren Hurricane Watch 2011, page 3
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reply posted on 30-7-2011 @ 05:23 PM by jadedANDcynical
The extreme dryness of the area sucked the moisture right out of that low and Don died a quick and ignoble death providing little to the relief of drought conditions. Any precipitation is welcome though and I'm sure the bit that fell will do some good.

Looking here we see a bit more to look forward to, specifically this image:



Tied with this one:



We see that the tropical wave is poised for a track into the Gulf if it survives interaction with the Yucatan peninsula and doesn't get torn to shreds.

The area further out, however is likely to be TS Emily in the near future, so says NOAA's National hurrican Center

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.


We should be a little more able to see where it's going mid next week.


reply posted on 2-8-2011 @ 01:31 AM by jadedANDcynical
Let's take a look shall we?





Haiti and The Domincan Republic are in for it as is Florida.

The east coast will get more rain too.


reply posted on 2-8-2011 @ 02:23 AM by Phage
reply to post by jadedANDcynical

Puerto Rico and Hispanola will probably get tropical storm level winds. Florida not so much, unlikely.
www.nhc.noaa.gov...?large#contents

Bears keeping an eye on though. (Get it..."eye"?)
edit on 8/2/2011 by Phage because: (no reason given)



reply posted on 7-8-2011 @ 02:02 PM by stonebutterfly
reply to post by freetree64


Its august, things should be firing up now. maybe tx will get a good ts soon.


reply posted on 14-8-2011 @ 01:16 AM by jadedANDcynical
Update:



source

Looks like we had an "F" named storm out in the Atlantic that didn't even get close to land. The next one or more look to do the same as the steering currents are keeping them away from CONUS.

In the Gulf of Mexico, we see little along the US coast as there seems to be a high centered in the Gulf that is keeping everything at bay.

Meanwhile, drought conditions persist throughout the region:




reply posted on 19-8-2011 @ 01:09 AM by queenofsheba
reply to post by Vitchilo


Mobile/Pensacola, huh? I hope not anything too big. It seems every time they get rebuilt and back up and running they get hit again and then everything's broke, closed and have to wait another two years before it's whole again.


reply posted on 21-8-2011 @ 12:44 AM by robyn
From the 11pm NHC Discussion:
A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO TOMORROW IF THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE TRACK FORECAST

Currently...

www.ssd.noaa.gov...

A northward jog of the LLC would bring it closer to land interaction with Hispanola thereby mitigating intensification. Not a good scenario for the DR or Haiti though.

Thus far the GFS and ECMF have been in pretty good agreement with a S. Florida impact but things generally change over time with model runs. Next 24-48 hrs. are critical.
edit on 21-8-2011 by robyn because: (no reason given)

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