I have been taking measurements and doing readings of the activity level of the New Madrid fault zone and based on my calculations of the data, it
does not look good. My calculations indicate that 4 mega earthquakes might occur on the New Madrid fault zone.
If it happens, the magnitude of one quake would be 8.8. Another quake would have a magnitude of 8.9. Another quake would have a magnitude of 9.1. And
the biggest quake in the mega-quake cluster sequence would have a magnitude of 9.4. I get these magnitudes by calculating the amount of stress buildup
that I am detecting in the fault zone.
There will be, if it happens, just like the last time it happened in 1811-12, 4 extremely large quakes, all classed in the mega size (8.8 and higher).
They would, if it happens, occur in various areas of the fault, just like in 1811-12.
In 1811-12, the 4 main quakes happened in 3 separate areas, with 2 of them occurring on the same day. Which is why there is some confusion as to there
having been 3 or 4 giant quakes. There were also 3 other enormous aftershocks that occurred, which brought the total to 7 giant quakes in all. But
usually those don't get counted in the main quakes that happened.
I believe something similar to this might possibly happen again. The last time it happened in 1811-12, it was the last of the 4 big quakes, the
February 7th, 1812 quake that was the biggest one, called the "Grand Daddy of all quakes."
From the readings I am getting, a very large series of quakes might possibly happen again, with one in particular possibly being of catastrophic
power. It could be so big as to cause at least 2 more very large quakes (and possibly a third one happening right around the same time), just like in
1811-12. Also, just like in 1811-12, I see the possibility that all of the quakes could be incredibly violent and horrendous, with one of them perhaps
being biblical in nature - the same as it was 200 years ago.
I do get the calculations that the stress factor is there to possibly release enough energy to cause a magnitude 9.4 earthquake to hit in the New
Madrid fault zone. The best comparison for such an event, if it were to happen, would be the February 7th, 1812 New Madrid quake. That quake caused
total destruction around the epicenter (a 12 out of a possible 12 on the Mercalli scale). It knocked down buildings in Saint Louis, chimneys and brick
structures in Chicago, and knocked dishes and books off shelves in Montreal. It also caused church bells to ring simultaneously in Boston. And it
awoke people from their sleep in the middle of the night in Washington D.C. The duration of the church bells ringing in Boston was reported to be
around 6 minutes in length.
Unfortunately, I am getting data that suggests such an earthquake (what my calculations suggest would be mag 9.4) could possibly happen again on the
New Madrid fault.
edit on 19-5-2011 by Red Cloak because: (no reason given)