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Swedish geophysicist Nils-Axel Mörner, in a new peer-reviewed paper, predicts that by the year 2050, we will be experiencing a cold period similar to the “Little Ice Age” that enveloped the world between about 1550 AD and 1850 AD. During that time, global temperatures were up to 2 degrees F colder than now and that chill had a significant effect on food production.
The paper’s abstract reads:
[At around 2040-2050 we will be in a new major Solar Minimum. It is to be expected that we will then have a new “Little Ice Age” over the Arctic and NW Europe. The past Solar Minima were linked to a general speeding-up of the Earth’s rate of rotation. This affected the surface currents and southward penetration of Arctic water in the North Atlantic causing “Little Ice Ages” over northwestern Europe and the Arctic.]
I don't have any reason to doubt that there will be "little ice ages" in the future like there have been in the past. So in general I really wouldn't have a problem with such a claim.
Originally posted by SLAYER69
[At around 2040-2050 we will be in a new major Solar Minimum. It is to be expected that we will then have a new “The past Solar Minima were linked to a general speeding-up of the Earth’s rate of rotation.
Yes, that one.
Originally posted by jjjtir
Solar Minima, Earth's rotation and Little Ice Ages in the past and in the future: The North Atlantic–European case
Professor Hugues Faure was an outstanding scientist. We met in the
late 60s and immediately became friends, a friendship which grew into
brotherhood within the years. Together, we draw up the lines for the
INQUA Neotectonics Commission and started the annual issuing of the
Neotectonics Bulletin (1977–1996). In 1979/80,weworked side by side
when I stayed at his institute in Luminy setting up a paleomagnetic
laboratory. It was a very creative and brainstorming period. Very early
did Hugues observe the differential sea level changes along the West
African coast (Faure, 1980), which meant much for me in the
formulation of the concept of geoid deformation (Mörner, 1976) and
of differential rotation with interchange of angular momentum
(Mörner, 1984, 1988). He noted the cyclic changes in African aridity
and published a very important paper challenging its future prediction
(Faure and Gac, 1981). When he started his remarkable carbon project,
he insisted that I should work with lithospheric degassing which led to
the paper by Mörner and Etiope (2002). It was a tragedy that his time
runout and thathewas not able to continue his carbon project,whichhe
loved and spent somuch efforts on. Itwas a true privilege forme to have
had the pleasure and benefit to work with Hugues for more than
30 years. And I am happy to dedicate this paper to his memory and
honour; and I bow my head in respect for this great man.
I thank Professor Guiot for providing me with the St. Jérôm
database, and I acknowledge a very nice and constructive collaboration
within INTAS project 97.3008 on “Geomagnetism and Climate”
(reported at the EGS–AUG–EUG meeting in Nice, 2003). Finally, I want
to thank my two reviewers for excellent comments and suggestions,
which significantly improved the paper.
Thank you very much, I'm going to read that over the next few days.
Originally posted by jjjtir
fulltext in pdf.
Thanks for that graph too. I haven't read the paper yet but I'm curious to see what the R-squared value is. That's not a great looking correlation, so I can't imagine that R-squared is very high, but it does look better if you scroll the graph to the right.
(...)Fig. 2. Instrumental LOD data plotted against sunspot numbers for the period 1831–1995 substantiating the existence of a correlation between Solar activity and Earth's rotation
(though the LOD data are, in fact, affected by multiple different factors).