Originally posted by taibunsuu
This exposes the United States to financial or political risk that either bank will stop buying Treasuries - or selling them heavily.
This is often held up as a scenario by which "hostile creditors" might somehow use their leverage to destroy the U.S. economy. In fact, that idea is
closer to "mutally-assured destruction".
There is very little incentive for an owner of bonds or other debt instruments to run the price down on them and attempt to bankrupt the debtor. Same
with equities: running the price of stock down is generally bad for stockholders (unless you're trying to run it down and buy it, of course).
The principle is that of not killing the goose that lays the golden eggs.
Most people with billions of dollars, especially the tens of billions that would be be necessary to actually harm the credit of the U.S. government,
are probably not interested in seeing most of their holdings evaporate that way.
The directors of any foreign bank that pulled such a stunt would be subject to public lynching for their crimes against their stockholders, creditors
and depositors.
As best I can tell, foreign investment is actually a form of "insurance". It binds foreign interests to the well-being of America, and is thus more
likely to influence foreign political decisions than those of the U.S, although in practice there is an effect on both.
The reality of international finance is that there is always contention and competition for a wide range of advantages and positions of leverage, and
speculators and market manipulators abound, but the ultimate net effect of all this activity is not very sinister: an overall desire in the financial
community for a fairly stable and predictable status quo and good returns on investments.
It is against that backdrop that the "movers and shakers" move and shake, but without it, they would themselves have nothing to work against, and
the competent ones know that intimately.
The biggest problems with overly large national deficits and debt service are actually more complex than they might appear on the surface, because
there are both good and bad consequences.
However, and this is simply my opinion, such as it is, the cost-versus-benefit ratio of chronic federal deficit spending and large debt loads for
me as a citizen is unacceptably high. The trick is wresting control of the government from those who
do profit from deficit spending and
heavy debt loads.
Calling attention to what is going on is at least a start, and I encourage anyone concerned about the U.S. economy to discuss issues such as these
loudly, publicly and -- ideally -- rationally.