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The Japanese government should stop trying to forecast when a major quake will hit near Tokyo because models behind the predictions are flawed, according to a geophysicist.
Since 1979, a year after Japan introduced a system that aims to predict big earthquakes three days prior to the event, temblors causing 10 or more mortalities have struck in areas assigned a low seismic risk rating, said Robert Geller, a professor of geophysics at the University of Tokyo.
“It is time to tell the public frankly that earthquakes cannot be predicted,” Geller said in a Nature magazine article published today. “We should instead tell the public and the government to ‘prepare for the unexpected’ and do our best to communicate both what we know and what we do not.”
Originally posted by Leo Strauss
Personally I would have evacuated Tokyo after the nuclear meltdowns. Just too close for comfort. I can predict with near certainty an aftershock in the 8.0 range in the coming months based solely on the fact of the 9.1 earthquake.
Originally posted by TrueAmerican
I URGE you, DO SOMETHING. WARN YOUR PEOPLE. And even perhaps consider a temporary evacuation of the city, before it is too late. Because you are about to get slammed. I estimate an 80% chance or better of this happening within the next two weeks, but may happen any time now. LOOK at that quake, and LOOK at the others on that zone. WHAT MORE WARNING SIGNS DO YOU WANT?
Originally posted by noonebutme
Canada's population is what, 33-36million? Almost doubling that in a short span of time would be devastating to every economy in Canada.
Originally posted by zorgon
Sadly I don't see Japanese taking that option...
Originally posted by midwest
Why all the bashing of TrueAmerican?