posted on Mar, 25 2003 @ 08:38 AM
This conflict has not gone the way anyone could foresee.In fact it has become apparent that it has gone awry,shockingly awry.I have no doubt that the
coalition,with their technological edge,will overcome but at what cost?
I think this is a good time to look at how we have come to this point and what future problems might arise and how those problems may be solved.
It was said,in the past,of the British Army,that they were lions led by donkeys.This analogy was used to describe the relationship between the
soldiers and the officers.Today the lions are our brave military but the donkeys are in Washington.
First,before the opening salvos were fired those who wanted this war managed to split the UN and NATO two organisations responsible for keeping world
peace and also the EU which has kept Europe peaceful.I don't want to go over ground that I have been over before in the last months.Suffice it to say
that Pre-war was a diplomatic disaster.Let us leave that.Historians in future will spend plenty of time analysing that with incredulity.
Onward to the campaign.Rumsfeld's arrogance that the US Army was so superior that 200,000 Allied troops could face 400,000 Iraqis,the assumption
being that Iraqis would greet the American with cheers and flowers.The US Generals must be having a fit.It is said that the Allies occupy a lot of
desert this in itself is misleading for all that is occupied is a thin coridor of desert.Uum Qasr,just over the Kuwaiti border,has just fallen after 6
days,How long will it take before we hold Nasiriya,Karbala,Najaf all now behind our lines.Most worrying of all what about Basra a city of 2 million
people.What is not being reported are the 3 Iraqi Divisions untouched waiting to the South East of Basra if they were to drive west and cut the US
supply line there really would be a big problem.
And the weather.I know Estragon(with his knowledge of Attic Greek) will smile if I say that these sandstorms recall the storms faced by the Persians
before Thermopyai and Salamis.As Herodotos said then"Heaven itself seemed to be working to reduce the enemy to a strength not excessively greater
than the Greeks"
It seems the cruel wind will not join the Coalition of the Willing and has decided to ally itself with the despot.
To the North the Turks,the Kurds.Let's not think about that.We have enough problemsBaghdad
Baghdad the concrete Vietnam.But there is always the Hiroshima Scenario.Is it possible that Bush who deludes himself that he is a modern day Churchill
will prove himself a modern day Truman.
It was said that the justification for using the A-bomb was that it saved US troops lives.Could the MOAB be used to shock the Iraqis to their
This does not come close to answering the problems faced with the reconstruction of Iraq.Washington today gave a price tag for this adventure $74
billion many on Capital Hill believe that that figure could be doubled.Invasions are historically paid for by reparations or a dividend.However if the
USA take this dividend then they can not expect the International community to pay,via the UN,for reconstruction after a war that the UN did not
sanction.All this with a world recession looming.
And the "Arab Street"who have lived in fear of American technology and the supermen that wield it.What will they think now they know that Americans
bleed just like they do?
1 or 2 months of extra inspection would of ensured International consensus and these problems would of been overcome with collective
responsibility.Now Blair and Bush must meet to resolve all these problems on their own.
And finally justification has still not been proven.No chemicals or bugs have been found.You may not need proof but the world who will pass moral
judgement on the USA/UK do need proof.Washington's word is no longer of value.
[Edited on 25-3-2003 by John bull 1]