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I don't dismiss it, I'm skeptical of it. That's not the same as denialism. The point is that we have a bunch of natural explanations that are demonstrably the case a lot of the time, and then there's an unsubstantiated belief that they're caused by real Aliens.
You didn't read what I said. I didn't presume in that hypothetical that there were any extraterrestrials and in any case the rational behaviour would be the same as if there were extraterrestrials as perceived by the et believers. If there was no evidence of ETs there's nothing the govt could do to prove to you people that they didn't know anything about ETs - nor would they have the responsibility to.
That's an extraordinary claim but the people making it do little to provide evidence for it. If they refuse to, its not our responsibility to believe them. The null hypothesis tells us we should assume its not happening - assume until the natural explanations are ruled out.
Not alone we cant because eyewitness testimony is completely subjective and very corruptible. And seriously, even if I experienced and abduction, I wouldn't assume it was real. I know I can be mistaken and I know how that could be the case. I wouldn't need to be convinced that maybe I was mistaken.
In law, evidence that is drawn not from direct observation of a fact at issue but from events or circumstances that surround it. If a witness arrives at a crime scene seconds after hearing a gunshot to find someone standing over a corpse and holding a smoking pistol, the evidence is circumstantial, since the person may merely be a bystander who picked up the weapon after the killer dropped it. The popular notion that one cannot be convicted on circumstantial evidence is false. Most criminal convictions are based, at least in part, on circumstantial evidence that sufficiently links criminal and crime.
Read more: www.answers.com...
Why would they be talking to any one individual. If they're going to make contact, they're going to interact with many of us. You'd imagine that a representative team, diplomats would meet with world leaders and leading scientists - maybe they'd heal Hawking in a gesture of good faith. Interfacing with people is the best way to understand them.
What's also possible and must logically account for at least some abduction reports is sleep paralysis. We know it happens, we know it results in hallucinations of horrible creatures or witches because the semi-conscious mind don't know why the body can't move. It's entirely possible that all the reports of abductions bore down to either sleep paralysis, simple delusion & psychosis and lying.
THAT'S more likely than creatures coming across the galaxy just to stick things in my butt- uh.. our butts!
Because that's what governments do when they're investigating something. And then when they're done and find nothing of interest they stop - at which point there's no incentive to declassify anything as much as there is to keep it secret so they follow protocol and wait for it's classification time to expire and then declassify it when they're supposed to. If they had something to hide, they wouldn't be declassifying anything.
So again, lack of evidence IS evidence to you.
Originally posted by Welfhard
reply to post by RoguePhilosopher
There are cave paintings of dragons. Does that make them real or a figment of the imagination of our ancestors?
Originally posted by RoguePhilosopher
reply to post by andre18
Its not just about now. They have been here and coming here for a very long time. Thats where you came from. If you understood the history of UFO's way back to the caves and cave drawings etc etc etc etc then you would realise that Aliens and UFO's are for real. Yes 4.5 billion years. That in itself should be pretty indicative that there are Aliens who are possibly millions if not a billion years ahead of us. Just imagine what we will be doing in 100,000 or 1,000,000 years from now. Travelling accross the universe and no doubt visiting other planets that have some form of intelligent life for sure! we now have the technology and capability to travel to Mars and all that in as little as 50 years. What about in 5000 years time!!! Presto!!
This is not correct. Even your answer contradicts itself. The rule of thumb is 95% of UFO activity can be explained. Agree? Then why would you go on to say "unsubstantiated belief" that "they" (the 95%) are caused by aliens? We already know they can be explained?!?
From implant phenomena to molecular mutations etc, etc.
But the eye witness testimony is accepted from the third party circumstantial witness? What an oxymoron.
You are assuming you know their agenda.
Even though sleep paralysis is true, I find it odd you haven't considered the commonalities of alien abductions among sleep paralysis experiencers?
What if they DO find something of interest? Moot point really...
Originally posted by Welfhard
reply to post by FlySolo
Clearly I was referring to the left over 5% as being explained by the believers as being genuine abductions, that's the un-substantiation.
So yes, we have 5% in a category all by itself. So why ignore the testimony attempting to explain this 5% That isn't how a skeptic should remain indifferent.
From implant phenomena to molecular mutations etc, etc.
None of those things are absent in the general populations anyway. Lots of people have tiny foreign objects lodged under their skin, it happens. People report unusual markers, as if the unusualness of markings could be indicative of something out of this world. If someone found something in their bodies that was definitely ET, the scientist who did the study would win the Nobel Prize and be rich, but it doesn't happen.
What if they DO find something of interest? Moot point really...
Then why are they declassifying everything nowadays? My point is that from the perspective of an ET believer, governments not declassifying stuff means they're hiding something and yet perplexingly governments actually declassifying stuff means they're hiding something.
Originally posted by RoguePhilosopher
reply to post by takso
Not sure, never posted one. Spirits of Aliens?.........you sure
Originally posted by RoguePhilosopher
reply to post by takso
Peronally Im not into Psychic or bible babble.
Atheist interested in the truth.
Originally posted by RoguePhilosopher
reply to post by takso
I only asked you the question and if you were sure. I did not ask you to show me anything!