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Political leaders in Europe have spent the last few days telling everyone who will listen that the credit crisis here is over.
Portugal, they say, will be the last country to need a bail out. And Spain, the next weak link in the chain, will be OK.
“Spain isn’t a problem,” French finance minister Christine Lagarde told my colleagues at The Wall Street Journal. Read “EU Finance Ministers Expect Spain Won’t Follow Portugal.”
“Now I do not see any risk of contagion,” said Spain’s Finance Minister Elena Salgado. “I think we are totally out of this.”
And Olli Rehn, the European commissioner of economic and monetary affairs, said he was “certain” Spain’s tough budget measures would ensure it avoided a bailout. It “will not need external financial assistance.”
Are they right?
They had better be.
Europe cannot afford a Spanish bailout.
Should they end up needing a bailout, according to this article (and i have read elsewhere as well but lost it and cannot reference) the Euro is screwed.