At MAX: JP Morgan will default on silver within two months LIVE UPDATES, page 2


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ATS Members have flagged this thread 23 times


reply posted on 13-4-2011 @ 11:25 AM by Skerrako
reply to post by CosmicCitizen




JPM reported better than expected earnings this morning,,,making $25.8 Billion for the 1st Quarter. Maybe a) they are not as short anymore as traders assumed or b) they have hedged those futures shorts via forward cash contracts and other derivatives (ie exchange traded options). Either way they dont appear to be going broke.....


I was reading this as well and knew that there must be a back story so I ran into this article:

JP Morgan Q1 2011


Q1 2011 versus Q1 2010 shows sales declining 8.8% and net income before provisions down an even larger 20.1%. Bottom line the bank’s ability to absorb future losses is deteriorating.


It seems to me they're doing exactly what our government is, living for the short term and casting all long term problems aside. With the second round of adjustable rate mortgages resetting were going to see even more stress on JPM. But like I said, a siler default doesn't mean that JPM will go bankrupt, just incur billions of dollars in losses as it will have to buy silver on the open market.


reply posted on 25-4-2011 @ 04:15 PM by Skerrako
reply to post by camaro68ss



Well at $50/oz very few people will sell, because once it is in that range nobody has any Silver above that price to sell back into the market to cause pullbacks. So silver will find a new bottom level (maybe around $100/oz) and will never go below that in the forseeable future.

Because of backwardation, that level can be anywhere between $47-50. Here is the important part: Once we are there, people will continue to buy silver until JP is forced to do one of three things. (1) To buy silver on the open market (driving the price up and taking losses), (2) Force people to take cash settlements instead of silver (causing massive dollar losses to JP, and jump in silver once people buy from other sources), or (3) Tell their SLV holders that they will not be getting anything (leading to Class Action lawsuits and a huge jump in silver).

Any way it goes, silver is going up. The only question is how drastically it will move

Hope that helped


reply posted on 25-4-2011 @ 05:00 PM by Cosmic4life
reply to post by Skerrako



SLA all the way..!!

Buy Silver....Crash J P Morgan.

Cosmic...



reply posted on 26-4-2011 @ 09:59 AM by Skerrako
reply to post by JohnnyCanuck



Wow Johnny I wish I got in that early.

I got in around $34 and get so mad I didn't do it earlier. Im waiting for my 44.50 target to buy more

Not to sound cocky, but my silver predictions have been dead on the last three weeks


reply posted on 28-4-2011 @ 04:44 PM by Skerrako
SMOKING GUN!!!

The comex loses 20% of it's registered silver in one week!

I was surfing around and came across this
zerohedge article


The reason then given was: "due to a reporting reclassification, 5,287,142 t oz was moved from Registered to Eligible." To our (lack of) surprise, a quick glance at today's silver holdings at the Comex confirms that the trend of reclassification is continuing unabated, and total "physical" silver across the entire Comex universe has now plunged by almost 20%, or from 41 million ounces to 33 million ounces, in the span of one week!


An amazing find! Is the billionaire physical run on? The JP Morgue short squeeze is basically a noose right now, slowly getting tighter and tighter. There is only so much longer this can go on until the illusion is gone.

We are getting quite close!
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