reply to post by Liam The Mulder
China has done an effective job of destroying their own population. Their population is on the verge of collapse with the youth (the ones who get it
on and make next year's youth) are predominantly males (who are only half of the equation, despite what the fruitcake aisle advertises).
But the relative size of these three Chinese population groups of 160 million will soon change. As a result of the country’s low fertility rates
since the early 1990s, China has already begun experiencing what will become a sustained decline in new entrants into its labor force and in the
number of young migrants. The era of uninterrupted supplies of young, cheap Chinese labor is over. The size of the country’s population aged 60 and
above, on the other hand, will increase dramatically, growing by 100 million in just 15 years (from 200 million in 2015 to over 300 million by 2030).
The number of families with only one child, which is also on a continued rise, only underscores the challenge of supporting the growing numbers of
Why should one care about these demographic changes, and why should the overused label “crisis” be attached to such slow-moving developments? The
aging of China’s population represents a crisis because its arrival is imminent and inevitable, because its ramifications are huge and long-lasting,
and because its effects will be hard to reverse.
China has royally screwed themselves over and there's nothing they, or anyone else, can do about it. Their population will collapse just as
certainly as uranium will decay into lead.
China’s demographic changes will also have far-reaching implications for the world economy, which has relied on China as a global factory for
the past two decades and more. The changes may also affect international peace and security. An aging population is likely to lead to a more peaceful
society. But at the same time, the projected 20 to 30 million Chinese men who will not be able to find wives, due to the country’s decades-long
imbalanced sex ratio at birth, may constitute a large group of unhappy, dissatisfied people. Claims that these future bachelors will harbor criminal
intentions and a propensity to form invading forces against China’s neighbors are unsubstantiated and overblown. Still, the fact that such a large
number of Chinese men will not be able to marry is clearly a serious social concern, and the issue should not be neglected.
I've lectured before on the national security threat this poses. Like it or not - human beings are a resource that, in certain times, can be sought
like any other resource.
There are already deeply embedded sex and slave trade industries (mail order brides, anyone?). This is a future market aspect that, admittedly, I had
overlooked in some of my previous e-lectures on the issue.
There are also concerns of hostilities arising over, interestingly enough, breeding women.
I know a lot of people want to scoff and self-righteously claim we are "above such primitive ways" - but, let's not kid ourselves - the male drive
to 'have a family' (in peaceful, civilized terms) is one of the strongest primal instincts a man feels, aside from satisfying needs like hunger and
China has pretty much set itself up to ride a train it doesn't want to ride.
From a population control standpoint - China is a poor target for such hard-kill tactics, as the soft-kill has already doomed the country to a very
uncertain (but unpromising) future.
India would be a far better target as they are unlikely to ever implement soft means of population control (government restrictions) and would be more
likely to require hard-kill methods to bring them into some arbitrarily established population range.
Look - you all start talking about things being used as population control - I'm going to start breaking out strategic thinking on how such measures
would be employed - usually to show you how it doesn't make any sense. Plagues generally cause widespread panic and food shortages - we saw what
that has lead to in Egypt, Libya, etc. Even "soft" political restrictions on populations, like in China, have rather powerful consequences later on
(as China is going to find out over the coming decades). All of these serve to destabilize society and upset the balance of power in each region (and
even across the world).
If you're one of these mythical "ruling classes" - uncertainty and social unrest are generally not what you want. It adds blind corners and
unknown factors that can overwhelm your ability to counteract.