reply to post by JakiusFogg
The only difference between the Bush and Obama administrations' views on war is that the Bush war government bragged about how it went behind the
UN's back, and the Obama war government is bragging about how it got UN approval.
I don't entirely understand the motive behind this NATO action. I get that there is oil in Libya, and Gaddafi is, if not hostile, disrespectful to
Europeans. I don't see why this is happening. Are the Europeans really so keen on removing Gaddafi just to get marginally better deals on his
nation's small oil production? Or does Libya have some resources that we don't know about? Or is this war even about resources? It doesn't seem to
be worth the investment.
The strategy that NATO is using in Libya doesn't really make sense to me, either. The no-fly zone is surely meant to give air cover to the rebels,
and aid them by destroying important pro-Gaddafi ground targets. However, the rebellion appears to have been defeated already; do they have the
martial vigour to stand up and try again, now that the Europeans have finally arrived? For that matter, why target Libya now, why aid rebels that
Gaddafi claims are in league with al-Qaeda? Is it because the protests across the M-E provide cover, and make it seem normal for a rebellion to arise
in Libya? That would explain NATO's rush to action, but does it explain their interest in Libyan regime change?
More likely than not, this is about Mediterranean security. I think that explains best why Italy, France, Spain, and Britain (Gibraltar) are
interested in this. Turning the Mediterranean into a "European lake" as they had done during the Colonial Age would secure Europe against foreign
I can't see this action being very successful without a NATO ground force invading Libya as well. The rebels might not be reliable, even if they get
reinforced by mercenaries (mercenaries can be unreliable, since they have no real stake in the outcome!). If NATO invades, however, they will awaken
the nation's memories of colonialism, and vindicate everything
that Gaddafi claimed and stood for to a new generation of Libyans who do
remember the colonial days. Moreover, it could be a very difficult invasion, especially if counter-colonial partisans flood into the
country from Algeria, Tunisia, Egypt. Ousting Gaddafi will create a power vaccuum, and someone much worse may fill it. Who knows if it will be a
European favourite that fills it? Who knows if a colonial invasion can succeed? Consider the Algerian war of independence; do the Europeans have the
might and morale to defeat a sustained guerilla/terrorist resistance in Libya?