posted on Mar, 17 2011 @ 07:48 PM
This is another "Saddam" in the making. The "no fly zone" will have relatively minor impact on the outcome of this conflict, as Libya's airforce is
barebones as it is. Those who supply Gadhafi with weapons, will continue to fly the cargo in without issues. The major impact from this, is that it
will alienate Gadhafi from Western powers, and pave way for future incidents with the West. Don't expect any UN or NATO/US airstrikes either.
Everyone knows they will achieve very little, and make Gadhafi that much more determined.
My guess is that Gadhafi will stay in power. He might not regain all of Libya, but he will regain the vital oil-producing sectors. He has money on
his side, and there is never a shortage of mercenaries willing to support any regime for money in Africa. Libya's population is relatively low unlike
Egypt, so it will not be a major problem to deal with the opposition.
The UN should stop kidding itself. Its actions have no impact on events outside of its realm, which is pretty much Europe. It is not like the "no
fly zone" will make the attitude of Muslims towards the West any better either. Just be pragmatic about it, and play game with dictators like Gadhafi
behind the curtains, even if you publically speak out against them.
edit on 17-3-2011 by maloy because: (no reason given)