*UPDATE* Jim Berkland (Geologist), W Coast Quake window starts March 19 2011 *ATS Experiment Added*

It was not an earthquake per the map above. I did experience an uneasy feeling driving into NW Oregon (west of Portland, OR) and my GPS took about 5 tries to get my directions to be accurate. The addresses were both correct.

I'm back safe and sound.

I postponed my trip to California to spend spring break up here, and I did not take the warnings lightly.

The Cascadia Fault is very strange. Related reading on the Cascadia fault.

I also find it strange that things don't appear to be acting up here.

his "window" ends tomorrow.
Probably won't happen, it might , who knows. If nothing happens he will lose a lot of credibility.

Not sure he had any to begin with which is why he was fired from USGS
Many here do not agree with anything he has to offer either. So in reality, he has little to lose.

Just were a 4.4 just outside Oregon like you guys pointed out on the plates where there would be activity..
quakes.globalincidentmap.com...

Latest Snapshot of the Pacific Northwest at around 5:00pm PST on March 25th

USA Total
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/66e84219219a.jpg[/atsimg]

Washington & Oregon
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/834c6f776369.jpg[/atsimg]

Oregon
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/09d8425c58be.jpg[/atsimg]

Oregon Information
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/5f40c68c60e7.jpg[/atsimg]

California
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/d9ec60204a6c.jpg[/atsimg]

This is our final day for the prediction window of Geologist Jim Berkland.

As we start into our final day, I'd just like to take this opportunity to thank all the members of ATS for their participation in our experiment. We could not have done this without your help, lets hope that there will be something to glean and/or learn from what was shared.


As it sits currently, we did have a 4.4 magnitude quake off the coast of Oregon 132 miles WSW of Coos Bay Oregon and 134 miles WNW of Crescent City, California. So far, that has been the largest quake (that I'm aware of) that has been in the 19th - 26th prediction window.



On the 27th, after we have completed this experiment, we will begin looking over the data collected and seeing if anything of significance fits with any of the quakes. I will also post up some animations that will show each hour from the start of the prediction window to it's final hour of all the quakes for the Pacific Northwest.

Johnny

Could you also post or paraphrase exactly what Berkland predicted.

I think some are under the assumption he predicted the Big One - - and I don't think that's exactly what he said.

Seems to me whats important is: how many/location/frequency etc - - - as a precursor to something building up.

Originally posted by Annee
Could you also post or paraphrase exactly what Berkland predicted. I think some are under the assumption he predicted the Big One - - and I don't think that's exactly what he said.

This is it pretty much in a nutshell ..

MARCH 19-26, 2011 PREDICTIONS The extremely clear March window has a 90% chance of producing the following quakes: with at least one meeting each of the following criteria:

(1) 3.5-7.0M within 140 miles of Mt. Diablo
(2) 3.5-7.0M within 140 miles of Los Angeles.
(3) 3.5-7.0M with an epicenter located in Washington or Oregon.
(4) 7.0+M major quake globally, probably in the Pacific Ring of Fire.

Originally posted by Annee
Could you also post or paraphrase exactly what Berkland predicted.

I think some are under the assumption he predicted the Big One - - and I don't think that's exactly what he said.

Seems to me whats important is: how many/location/frequency etc - - - as a precursor to something building up.

People are being led to believe he predicted the Big One. Or just a big earthquake. Not a 3.5 earthquake. if a 3.5 earthquake happens (it probably already has?) then he could say I told you so. But that's not what people are thinking about. They're thinking of what happened in Japan...

Aren't 3.5 earthquakes pretty normal for California? Isn't that just a little shaking? I live in Florida so I don't experience that.

Originally posted by Mercurio

Aren't 3.5 earthquakes pretty normal for California? Isn't that just a little shaking? I live in Florida so I don't experience that.

I'm not really sure of the data - - which I think this thread is looking at.

"We" (many natives of CA) - - don't consider anything less then a 5 an earthquake.

However - - I don't remember earthquakes in the high desert areas such as Yucca Valley and whats been going on near Brawley.

As I understand it - - a lot of small earthquakes can be good in releasing tension - - - OR leading up to something bigger.

Be prepared is the only thing one can do - - - as earthquakes are a natural disaster with no real warning.

Latest Snapshot of the Pacific Northwest as of around 5:50pm PST on March 26th

USA Total
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/3e47bb8a9861.jpg[/atsimg]

Washington & Oregon
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/0e44e8424590.jpg[/atsimg]

California
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/ce48e213fd74.jpg[/atsimg]

Snapshot of the Pacific Northwest on March 26th after 7:00pm PST

USA Total
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/51fa4551ac18.jpg[/atsimg]

California
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/f5d3a8f75216.jpg[/atsimg]

California Info
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/600d2aa7bcaf.jpg[/atsimg]

I realize these projections/predictions are obviously not concrete and though it may appear that Berkland's "window" is passing without significant incident, I think it wise to remember that the west coast (including Canada and Alaska) is due for a major hit. It will come one day and any means of finding a reliable forewarning would save lives. Predictions (scientific and otherwise) most certainly contribute to awareness and potentially an early warning and hopefully will become more reliable/dependable over time. Until then, hopefully everyone has at minimum, a family-plan for when emergencies do occur.

Originally posted by LadySkadi
I realize these projections/predictions are obviously not concrete and though it may appear that Berkland's "window" is passing without significant incident, I think it wise to remember that the west coast (including Canada and Alaska) is due for a major hit. It will come one day and any means of finding a reliable forewarning would save lives. Predictions (scientific and otherwise) most certainly contribute to awareness and potentially an early warning and hopefully will become more reliable/dependable over time. Until then, hopefully everyone has at minimum, a family-plan for when emergencies do occur.

edit on 26-3-2011 by LadySkadi because: (no reason given)

Very senible, very reasonsonable. very nice FACTUAL LADY

reply to post by mesle123


The exact time is insignificant. Looking at these earthquakes on USGS has been interesting because they have been progressing like a zipper in California, while the pacific northwest has almost no earthquakes at all, coupled with large quakes everywhere else on the pacific rim.

Also I heard that we're finding out now that the San Andreas Fault and the Cascadia Subduction Zone are connected geologically when it comes to earthquakes. Also in Washington we haven't had a major quake in at least a decade or more. I am hoping for the best but its looking not so good.

Our last snapshot in the prediction window of Mr. Berkland taken at around Midnight (PST) March 27th. Were including a pretty large quake below Mexico City

USA Total
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/f750b48bd25d.jpg[/atsimg]

Washington & Oregon
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/d3d4aa5d8379.jpg[/atsimg]

California
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/c3ff0740693c.jpg[/atsimg]

MEXICO-Guatemala City
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/0e6fe71bae30.jpg[/atsimg]

[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/87a8ba36a149.jpg[/atsimg]

Mexico Information
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/2c1c463868c2.jpg[/atsimg]

It hasn't happened, it's the 27th now. I have a feeling, it will though. I mean, not exactly on the 26th, but somewhere near the 26th probably. If it doesn't, he loses credibility. He'd be worse off then he is now. People keep saying we are overdue. Well, It hasn't happened. How about we are not overdue. Apparently, it hasn't happened, and no one's predictions came true. It may not happen in our lifetime. Jim's 80's prediction was most likely a wild guess. I read that his other predictions weren't exactly as he predicted. This is probably one of the disasters that we will never predict. I give him props though for trying to predict one. Somebody has too in order to know if he can predict it again. If it does happen within this week, he was close enough and that means, he's close to knowing the signs of the next earthquake which will be great news.

I hope to God, he's wrong though. I live in South Gate, Los Angeles area. I wouldn't give up on him easily. He's risking it if he just want's attention because he'll lose credibility. He'll lose it anyways if he tried to predict it without wanting the attention. What I don't get is the wild guess. How did he really know the 80's earthquake. He got that one right. I don't know if he got the exact day but the 26th one didn't happen. So I assume it's a wild guess that's tripping me out. Maybe the earthquake is probably in 27th or somewhere near.

I'm beginning to think California is overdue for the big earthquake. It never happened. All predictions failed. How is it overdue in the first place. Something is not letting happen???? God? I don't know, but it hasn't happened. I don't think were overdue. It's probably nothing more than a big scare."

Well, Is it really too early to say this prediction is a flop?
My internal doom-o-meter says no planet moving quakes ahead.
at least not in the near future...
But of course if something does happen,. I will be sure to get it recalibrated.

We have busy all Night and most of this morning making up Animations of the Activity starting with the 18th on most of the States that had earthquakes.. Because of their size, were going to post them on the following page.

Thanks for your patience