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*UPDATE* Jim Berkland (Geologist), W Coast Quake window starts March 19 2011 *ATS Experiment Added*

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posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 12:06 AM

Originally posted by darkest4
Yawn, this should already be in the skunk works or something given Phage's data which proves that this is not a "prediction" at all, and theres an overwhelming chance of at least one earthquake meeting the broad criteria stated in the OP to happen during ANY 7 day period since 1973... Theres 8-9 such quakes meeting the criteria in the "prediction" per month which means theres an average of 2 a week for the last 48 years so how is it even a "prediction"? Itd probably be more of a prediction to claim NO such earthquakes meeting that criteria will happen

Same as me predicting rain on the east coast within the next week wouldn't qualify as a real "prediction".
edit on 22-3-2011 by darkest4 because: (no reason given)

I'm beginning to believe you can't read. That wasn't a prediction. I do love the way u continually run off at the mouth without really saying anything. At least PHAGE show's he's intelligent and backs up his scepticism with facts he feels substantiates his point of view, he certainly doesn't continually tell everyone how stupid they r for not thinking like him. If u r such a sceptic, why r u here? I have seen nothing posted by u except derogatory comments trying to belittle others. You have done this to me continually for the last 3 days. If u don't mind, if u don't like what I think, be the bigger man and keep it to your self. And by the way, 6.1 quakes do not happen on the mid alantic ridge everyday.

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 12:39 AM

Originally posted by darkest4
isnt predicting a 3.5+ quake in at least one of several quake hotspots over a week long period a pretty "safe" prediction to say the least? Id like to see how often a week even goes by where a quake fiting the extremely broad criteria listed in the OP DOESNT happen... Anyone thought of checking on that data before even thinking about giving this guy a hit or miss on a prediction? A 3.5 quake is hardly newsworthy and definitely not something worth stirring people up with predictions over.
I predict there will be rain in new york or maine in the next week, zzz
edit on 21-3-2011 by darkest4 because: (no reason given)

Perhaps u could read the whole prediction, oh yeah sorry, the non prediction. 3.5 yes, but i believe the non prediction was 3.5 to 7, 3.5 to 7, 3.5 to 7, and 7+, Maybe u could ask PHAGE how often 7 and 7+ happen.


posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 01:04 AM
reply to post by jalosangeles

Living in San Diego, my plan of evacuation for any type of SHTF was to head East towards Borrego Springs.
From reading your post, it might not even be there if these strong quakes happen. Though if they do, I'm probably screwed anyway living so close. The Easter quake in Mexico shook us good and did damage. I can only imagine something large and as close as Borrego.
I think most who live in my area know that we are due for a good sized quake.

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 01:21 AM
The latest Snapshot of the Pacific Northwest for March 22nd at around 11:00pm PST

USA Total

Washington & Oregon



posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 01:48 AM
Did anyone post this bit of news from Sunday ?

San Diego Zoo Animal Keeper Attacked, Bitten By Panda

SAN DIEGO -- An animal keeper at the San Diego Zoo was injured after she was bitten by a panda on Sunday, zoo officials said on Monday. A zoo spokeswoman told 10News the incident happened around 7 a.m. Sunday when a group of panda keepers working at the exhibit before the park opened had an unexpected visitor.
"We do know that a security protocol was not followed… that a door was not securely latched and that allowed the panda to get into the behind-the-scenes area," said San Diego Zoo spokeswoman Christine Simmons.
While trying to coax the giant panda, Bai Yun, back into her habitat, a female handler was attacked and bitten by the bear. Simmons said, "Pandas are bears and can be very volatile [and] aggressive animals… We don't know what triggered the bite itself."


I believe this is the first time ever that this bear has done anything to any zoo keeper.
This could be nothing more than a wild animal doing what wild animals do.

Thought this was an interesting note. Source

Though generally alone, each adult has a defined territory and females are not tolerant of other females in their range.

The giant panda usually lives around 20 years in the wild and up to 30 years in captivity.

Bai Yun is 20yrs old this September. So maybe she's just a grumpy old lady

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 10:56 AM
reply to post by SMR

It would be interesting if someone in the area of CA asked to any zoo keepers if animals are acting weird lately.

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 10:56 AM
reply to post by SMR

It would be interesting if someone in the area of CA asked to any zoo keepers if animals are acting weird lately.

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 11:47 AM
While I am skeptical of this forecast and am suspicious of the scientific validity of this experiment given that there is no control or other scientific means of determining its actual implications, in the interest of trying to contribute for those who do gain value from this in some way, I can say that our neighborhood cats (in an area of San Francisco) have been acting odd lately.

Typically (after living in this neighborhood for five years,) we see the various neighborhood cats at least every other day, especially in the early morning. They have never vanished during the five years that we've lived here. They are always roaming around, being fed, getting petted by people, etc. Doing what outdoor pet cats do.

Not one of them has been seen in a little over six days now. (Call it a week, I guess.) The only cat we've seen in that time has been a new cat none of us have ever seen before, and he or she was sitting under a bush looking terrified and lost.

I have no idea if that means anything at all, and as I said, I have serious doubts as to the scientific value of any of this. At best it seems like this would establish anecdotal evidence only, even if a quake occurs. But there's my input for the moment. The cats are acting oddly here.
edit on 3/23/2011 by AceWombat04 because: typo

edit on 3/23/2011 by AceWombat04 because: typo

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 12:27 PM
Hi all, I wanted to update you on a conversation I had this morning. I was a little reprimanded by my friend after I had discussed the fact that I had a conversation with others regarding some information he had recently shared with me.

As a result, I've been asked to make an extremely clear correction to a post yesterday. Although all the information is scientifically accurate, when describing what "imminent" was referring to in geological terms, the USGS formal position is that "We do not give time tables".

I do want to stress that being prepared is a must in any event. Many of you have posted great links to earthquake preparedness sites which I encourage everyone to go to, even if you already have a plan or an emergency kit with you. And, there are many places that offer prepared earthquake kits, QuakeAlert is a good source, however you can also go to their site and see what's included in each kit and create your own for much cheaper. Again, be prepared for whatever today and tomorrow bring, you'll be thankful you did.

Good luck all!! I'll certainly keep you posted on new information as I receive it.

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 04:40 PM
Not to take anything away from Johnny's data gathering regarding animal behavior, but as I mentioned on the first page of this thread I used to follow Jim Berklands website fairly regularly until I got bored with the almost daily predictions of pending quakes from the members and also from Berkland's monthly "predictions" of earthquakes in 140 mile round earthquake prone areas. And his monthly predictions were practically copy and paste from the previous month with minor adjustments.

For example, his January 2011 "prediction":

The Seismic Window for January 19,-26, 2011 is based on the full Moon of Jan. 19, a lunar perigee of moderate distance on Jan. 21, and a Golden Gate maximum tidal range of 7.9 ft. on Jan. 19-20, 2011 (15 ft. range at Puget Sound on Jan. 21..) These conditions cause me to predict and 80% probability for one or more quakes with the following criteria:

(1) 3.5-6.5Magnitude within 140 miles (2-degrees) of Mt. Diablo (37.9N; 121.9W).
(2) 3.5-6.5M within 140 miles of Los Angeles City Hall (34.0N; 118.0W)
(3) 3.5-6.5M with an epicenter located in Washington or Oregon
(4) 7.0+M major earthquake globally, especially in the Pacific Ring of Fire, where 80% of the world’s strongest quakes occur. Last year 22 of 25 main shocks of 7.0-8.8M were located in the Ring of Fire, with one especially glaring exception being the 7.0M quake in the West Indies at Haiti on January 9, 2010 which took about a quarter of a million lives.
An experimental unscored prediction is made here for a 4.5M event east of the Mississippi River during the last half of January 2011.

His March "prediction":

The extremely clear March window has a 90% chance of producing the following quakes: with at least one meeting each of the following criteria:
(1) 3.5-7.0M within 140 miles of Mt. Diablo
(2) 3.5-7.0M within 140 miles of Los Angeles.
(3) 3.5-7.0M with an epicenter located in Washington or Oregon.
(4) 7.0+M major quake globally, probably in the Pacific Ring of Fire.

For November 2010:

The Seismic Window of November 05-12, 2010 has an 80% chance to produce one or more quakes with the following criteria:
(1) 3.5-6.5M within 140 miles of Mt. Diablo (37.9N; 121.9W)
(2) 3.5-6.5M within 140 miles of Los Angeles (34.0N; 116.0W)
(3) 3.5-6.5M with an epicentral address of Washington or Oregon
(4) 7.0M+ globally, most likely within the Pacific Ring of Fire.

And on it goes. Practically the same predictions month to month in very large areas that are prone to earthquakes. So this current "prediction" is really not significantly different than his prediction for any other random month previous.

As for Johnny's data gathering experiment, just to add to the discussion our cat and all of the other neighborhood pets seem normal. Hummingbirds come to the feeder and antagonize the cat, bees are coming out of their slumber, the nightly howling of the coyotes and daily chirping of the birds...all is normal in Washington State in the shadow of Mt Rainier.

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 05:59 PM
Well, I am far away from California, being in Alabama, however, we are experiencing strange things here. My observations probably wont have anything to do with your data gathering, but here it is.

For the past 2 weeks, my cat has been acting psychotic, he still is. He is restless, but wants to be on me all the time. Then he runs around meowing very loudly, then back to me. He is about 6 years old, so a normally very laid back cat. I dont know what is going on with him. However, we have had 2 earthquakes in Alabama this week!!! Nothing big, but still......Alabama earthquakes? And now they are saying on the news that they are going to start earthquake preparedness classes? Have I stepped into the twilight zone?

I have been following this experiment and all the post very closely since before the full moon, as I am very interested in what is going on. It seems that suddenly this old world has become a rather shaky place.

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 06:20 PM
Earthquakes in Alabama!!

Maybe after the bird deaths and fish deaths in Arkansas this year we should be looking at the New Madrid fault instead of California?

Just sayin...........

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 07:11 PM
Absolutely nothing anomalous so far (save for my GPS being a piece of junk - addressed elsewhere) on the Oregon-Washington border. No signs of early spring aside from normal and no animals acting strangely.

I am barely out of the Cascadia subduction zone, within sight of Mt. Hood when on Interstate 5. I have our bug-out bags ready and have a good checklist going. The car is getting a full tank shortly and we have a way to evacuate if it becomes necessary, but I think we'd be better off to shelter in place. We've got those supplies and probably 6 months worth of food.

I will report anything anomalous. I'm not feeling anything right now. Preparedness, not paranoia!

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 08:02 PM
The most recent Snapshot of the Pacific Northwest for March 23rd at around 5:30pm PST

USA Total

Washington & Oregon


Wanted to add that I sincerely appreciate everyone for adding to the data with regards to their pets acting either normal or otherwise, and also including the area that this happens.. The collected data is only 'good' if the information also includes the location. We don't need specifics like an address, but a city name greatly helps.

There is also another route you can do if you are so inclined, and that's check with your county shelter and newspapers for the number of pets that are in the "Lost and Found" section. I've also found out that "CraigsList" has a section for Lost and found, and perhaps (again if you don't mind for the sake of science), check what the reports are for your region.. For example.. Here is the link for
Craigslist San Francisco Lost & Found. Should be pretty easy to find similar links for Southern California, Oregon and Washington

All of this data is extremely helpful (for the experiment) in our acquiring a possible link (if one does indeed exist at all).


edit on 3/23/2011 by JohnnyAnonymous because: Typos

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 08:41 PM
Quick followup, I wasn't aware of the attached article, however I was directed to link this article as represents the most current findings associated with the claims made yesterday on my post regarding the Salton Sea quake that could possibly (I stress possibly) trigger a large scale "cluster-quake", different than those seen in microquake clusters. Again, the theory is that the Salton Sea is extremely overdue for a significant seismic event that would release enough energy towards the north, to the San Andreas fault and to the west on faults that lay under both the LA Basin and San Fernando Valley.

You MUST keep in mind that this information is based on incredibly recent scientific data and I do NOT want to cause alarm or fear here. I'm simply passing along information that is not widely covered by mainstream media, however is clearly published by mainstream geology.

Article published on 2/10/2011, so this is not a knee jerk reaction based on recent global seismic activity nor relating to the Japan earthquake necessarily. The information I have that has not been published to date is that scientist are at odds about the short-term affects of major earthquake's globally and across vast distance.

A recent study indicates that energy released during a major earthquake, 8.0 or larger, travels not only across tectonic regions, but around the globe, several times prior to dissipating. This is why the cause for concern in the Salton Sea has increased as of late and especially since the Japan quake. Many believe that an area this vulnerable is at an increasingly higher risk with each major quake that happens globally. Keep in mind that of the top 10 most powerful earthquakes since 1900, 50% (or 5) have happened in the last 5 years. Something to look at for sure.

Be safe, Be prepared.

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 09:05 PM
I know the averages of earthquake frequency has been mentioned before but when you actually compile the list, you will see, as Phage says, the guy is playing the odds.

Here's a KML (load up in google earth) of recorded 3.5 - 7.0 quakes in a 140 mile radius around Los Angeles since 2000:

340 quakes.

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 09:19 PM
reply to post by tallcool1

well that guy predicting the same thing every year sounds lame, i can actually predict that too until it happens....
tbh now im less scared because i thought he was kinda sure that the big earthqueake was happening at least this year but that just proves how fake he is.
edit on 23-3-2011 by manticorex5 because: (no reason given)

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 09:56 PM
well you can be sure of this,.
It is Highly probable that Jim will be
50% wrong..

posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 11:10 PM
The latest Snapshot on March 23rd of the Pacific Northwest at around 9:00pm PST

USA Total

Washington & Oregon


posted on Mar, 23 2011 @ 11:34 PM
It certainly looks as though the entire Pacific plate is looking to adjust the North American side (from Alaska to Mexico) to compensate for nearly two solid weeks of 4.5-6.0+ shakers almost hourly on the Japanese side. I wonder if these escalating but alarmingly small quakes are foreshocks or are simply pressure relief farts from all the plate jiggling?

One thing about animals acting weird:

I wonder if the dog heard it coming or if it was something else.

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