Libyan Rebel Strategy, page 1


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Topic started on 15-3-2011 @ 10:40 AM by sensible thought
Over the last couple of days I things just were not adding up to me. The rebels that just weeks ago looked like they were going to take control of the country very quickly, with a constant flow of defectors from the military and government it was looking like this was going to go down quickly.

Then the Gaddafi forces started to push back and take back ground. At first I thought it was understandable that young protestors, albeit energetic, were not that experienced and the defecting military personnel didn’t seem to be making any difference, so an army shouldn’t have that much problem rolling in and crushing protestors (even those with some AK’s).

At this point the media was calling Gaddafi’s forces superior (that in itself is a joke) and the rebels were retreating and starting to look desperate, calling for no-fly zones and the media calling them unorganized without any command structure.

I really started to wonder why the defecting forces were not counter striking , but rather in a defense mode that was steadily allowing Gaddafi’s forces to roll through town after town (as he thinned his forces out).

I kept waiting to hear stories about road side bombs or something to indicate that the rebels were maybe shifting to gorilla type warfare. That style worked fairly well against the US military in Iraq that is probably a 1000 times more equipped and capable than Gaddafi’s, but yet the towns went from rebel to Gaddafi green.

Finally today I see a report on Aljazeera’s Libyan Blog stating that the rebels have used Air assets to destroy Ships :

blogs.aljazeera.net...#

"4:30pm Anti-government activists said that rebels commanding fighter jets have destroyed two of Gaddafi's warships off the northeast coast of Ajdabiya.

The opposition also claimed to have hit a third naval ship in the air attack, according to opposition website Libya al-Youm.

A number of army generals and soldiers, particularly in the Libyan Air Force, have defected to join the rebels and have an arsenal of weapons and fighter jets at their disposal.

The alleged attack comes as Gaddafi's forces continue to battle for control of Ajdabiya and the nearby city of Brega in order to advance on to the opposition stronghold of Bengazi."


With Libya being mostly desert, were the rebels trying to thin out Gaddafi's forces further east so that they can use their limited resources to pick off his assets that stray from the herd, and give them a false sense of security? And are we going to see the defecting forces organize themselves and use a little tact.

edit on 15-3-2011 by sensible thought because: (no reason given)

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